From Supergirl Flopping To $7M Daily Fines: How Paramount’s Merger Drama Could Secretly Save James Gunn’s DCU

From Supergirl Flopping To $7M Daily Fines: How Paramount’s Merger Drama Could Secretly Save James Gunn’s DCU

From a massive Supergirl box office flop to a $7M daily fine; how WB’s chaotic 2026 could end in a massive $7 billion windfall for David Zaslav and co.

By MarkJulian - Sep 12, 2026 03:09 PM EST
Filed Under: DC Studios

The year of 2026 is definitely one that Warner Bros. CEO David Zaslav and the rest of the studio brass would like to forget.

Coming off a banner year in 2025, this year's film slate has been a financial disaster.

In 2025, Warner Bros. pulled off a monster year, becoming the very first studio to cross the $4 billion mark at the global box office. They even set a brand-new industry record by landing seven straight $40 million-plus opening weekends, ultimately claiming nine separate #1 hits. Huge hits like A Minecraft Movie and James Gunn's Superman led the charge, while breakout originals like Sinners and Weapons proved the studio could win big across completely different genres.

The complete opposite has unfolded in 2026, with Supergirl being the most obvious misfire and Christian Bale's The Bride, The End of Oak Street and Mortal Kombat II all delivering box office numbers far short of investor expectations.

Supergirl carried a production budget of $170 million and grossed $126.4 million worldwide.  The Bride was made for $80 million and amassed just $23.9 million worldwide.  The Mortal Kombat sequel made the mistake of increasing the budget of the sequel from $55 million to $80 million.  It grossed just $129.5 million worldwide.  It's also important to note that all of these production budget costs don't factor in what the studio spent on marketing.

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Meanwhile, the massive $110.9 billion Paramount Skydance and Warner Bros. Discovery merger just slammed into its biggest roadblock yet this past summer.

However, the current obstacles and delays that the merger is facing could very well be the preferred outcome for WB.

An antitrust lawsuit in the state of California threatens to upend the deal, despite prior approval from the U.S. Department of Justice. That leaves Paramount Skydance chief David Ellison sitting on a ticking financial time bomb: Paramount is contractually obligated to pay WB $7 million per day for every day this merger stays stalled.Payments are scheduled to begin on October 1, 2026.

If the blockbuster merger completely collapses due to regulatory or antitrust hurdles, Paramount Skydance will be on the hook to pay Warner Bros. Discovery a staggering $7 billion reverse termination fee. That safety net alone would more than cover a rough patch at the multiplex, giving James Gunn total creative freedom to keep bankrolling weird projects starring C and D-list DC superheroes for years to come.

Another straw for WB to grasp at the moment is the forthcoming release of Dune: Part Three, but while the previous installments have proved critically and commercially successful, that film is set to go head-to-head with Avengers: Doomsday- an unenviable battle for any release. 

Smaller wildcards like Tom Cruise's Digger and the horror-leaning Clayface could also shake things up.

A resolution might finally take shape in late October 2026, when Paramount Skydance, the WGA West, and a coalition of 12 state attorneys general are required to meet for a two-day, in-person settlement summit. Whether they can actually reach terms, however, is still anyone's guess.  

About The Author:
MarkJulian
Member Since 6/8/2011
CBM writer for a decade+.
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jst5
jst5 - 9/12/2026, 3:18 PM
There is no save...Gunn and DC will be over in 2027 it's over.
Floke
Floke - 9/12/2026, 3:58 PM
@jst5 - It's been... Gunned down.
Wallywest001
Wallywest001 - 9/12/2026, 4:51 PM
@jst5 - I don’t understand why the author said Auperman was a huge hit…. It wasn’t haha. It barely broke even… if that.
Irregular
Irregular - 9/12/2026, 6:20 PM
@Wallywest001 - Yeah I agree that Auperman wasn't a huge hit. Never heard of that. But Superman was a moderate hit enough to get a sequel so there is that...and I don't even like James Gunn...well his take on Superman I like but the rest of his vision is a NO.
Wallywest001
Wallywest001 - 9/12/2026, 6:32 PM
@Irregular - obviously was a typo lol. But nah it wasn’t a moderate hit, may of made the studio 10-15 million if that.
LoudLon
LoudLon - 9/12/2026, 7:22 PM
@Wallywest001 - Superman's budget was $225 million. Ad campaign was around $115 million. Total cost: $330 million.

Global box office was about $620 million. Total profit: about $290 million.

Movie theaters typically get an average of 40-50% of ticket sales. If we go high end with 50%, then Superman cleared about $145 million.

Which is slightly more than 10-15 million. Not to mention it was also a massive streaming hit, and racked up millions of more views after hitting HBO. All in all, many reasons to justify a sequel.
Wallywest001
Wallywest001 - 9/12/2026, 9:51 PM
@LoudLon - yeah that math is all wrong my guy. Budget was 225 million, multiple websites report a marketing budget of 150-200 million. So let’s 350million is total budget. Box office was 618 million. The studios get 60-65% of that so about 370 million…. I mean does that sound like a hit? Lol
LoudLon
LoudLon - 9/12/2026, 10:44 PM
@Wallywest001 - Not trying to be a dick here, but talk about wrong math, dude...

Going by your numbers:

Total box office of 618 mil, minus upwards of 425 million combined for production budget and marketing, leaves a profit of 193 million.

Studio gets 65% of that, meaning they made a profit of $125,450,000 -- not 370 million.

Even so, $125 million + would certainly make it a hit. I have to imagine that with CBMs, there's been some loss of perspective. Any film that clears 125 million after costs is a success. Maybe not a mega super duper blockbuster success like Spider-Man: Brand New Day, but yes, that kind of profit absolutely would make it a hit, and would justify a sequel.
Wallywest001
Wallywest001 - 9/12/2026, 11:13 PM
@LoudLon - the studio does not get all the BO dollars.

Total box $618 million
Studio gets 65% - $412 million

Budget 375-425 million

Most of the profits come from the domestic BO, first 2 weeks are crucial because that’s when the studios get the biggest cut.
LoudLon
LoudLon - 9/13/2026, 12:26 AM
@Wallywest001 - I know they don't get all the box office money. I said that in my first comment above, that theaters typically get between 40%-50% of the box office take.

The other 50%-60% goes to the studio -- and after you account for production budget and marketing costs, what's left is their net profit. In this case, somewhere between 125-145 million, depending on which of our numbers is accurate.
ObserverIO
ObserverIO - 9/13/2026, 5:50 AM
@LoudLon - Where you're going wrong is that you think the theaters take a percentage of the profits. They do not.

If that were the case then cinemas would lose money on flops. Think about it.

They take a percentage from the gross. Then what's left has to cover production, marketing, etc. Then what's left out of that is the studios profit. Which in the case of Superman may or may not have existed depending on who you ask. If it did exist it would have been only around $10-15 mil like @wallywest001 said.
LoudLon
LoudLon - 9/13/2026, 7:20 AM
@ObserverIO - I didn't say theaters get percentage of profit. They get percentage of ticket sales. Those are different things.
ObserverIO
ObserverIO - 9/13/2026, 12:19 PM
@LoudLon - You said:

"Global box office was about $620 million. Total profit: about $290 million.

Movie theaters typically get an average of 40-50% of ticket sales. If we go high end with 50%, then Superman cleared about $145 million."

You took 50% off the profit ($290 million) rather than gross ($620 million).

See where you went wrong?

If we take 50% off gross it's actually $310 million. Then you take off the total cost of $330 million (your estimate) and the studio has actually lost $20 million dollars.
LoudLon
LoudLon - 9/13/2026, 12:59 PM
@ObserverIO - Oh shit, you're right, I totally boofed that. Not sure how I managed to screw that up, I knew in my head what I was trying to say LOL

Oh, well. Good thing I've never claimed to be a genius. Good-looking, yes. Genius, no.
LoudLon
LoudLon - 9/13/2026, 1:00 PM
@Wallywest001 - I owe you an apology, I completely brain-farted on my numbers. My bad!
Wallywest001
Wallywest001 - 9/13/2026, 5:38 PM
@LoudLon - all good Buddy. All that BO stuff gets confusing. For instance, WB reported that Batman V Superman only made over 800 million at the BO but cost like 450 to make, WB reported it made less than 100 million in profit. Either way, Superman wasn’t terrible but the whole thing with Jor-El wanting to conquer earth so dumb and stupid.
harryba11zack
harryba11zack - 9/12/2026, 3:19 PM
"How Paramount’s Merger Drama Could Secretly Save James Gunn’s DCU"
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TheFinestSmack
TheFinestSmack - 9/12/2026, 4:24 PM
@harryba11zack - is that Zack Snyder or Hunter Biden 🤣🤣🤣
comicfan100
comicfan100 - 9/12/2026, 3:23 PM
The negatives outweigh the positives with this merger.
ObserverIO
ObserverIO - 9/13/2026, 5:53 AM
@comicfan100 - The negatives outweigh the positives without this merger.

Warners will be broken down and sold for scrap. That's the alternative. So they need someone to step in and save them. Someone that won't buy them just to kill them like Netflix.
Arthorious
Arthorious - 9/12/2026, 3:31 PM
“ James Gunn total creative freedom to keep bankrolling weird projects starring C and D-list DC superheroes for years to come”
lol!! Made laugh harder than I thought.

Regardless he did a good job with Superman so if we get more Superman I’ll be ok with that.
Wallywest001
Wallywest001 - 9/12/2026, 6:33 PM
@Arthorious - wasn’t really a Superman movie though lol
TheVisionary25
TheVisionary25 - 9/12/2026, 3:57 PM
It sucks that Mortal Kombat 2 underperformed this year given I thought it was enjoyable and an improvement over the first film which likely means we won’t get a third one unless the budget is dramatically reduced thus hopefully that happens but i doubt it.

Anyway , it definitely hasn’t been a good year for WB so far and I honestly don’t think it will change much either until Dune Part 3 which i think could do well and make a billion (i think Digger is gonna flop while Clayface could be a modest hit given its lower budget)….

Even though they are releasing on the same day , i can see Dune & Doomsday if both are good doing business like Spider Man & The Odyssey have where both are successful and kept steady due to rewatchability & such which im sure will help WB ease up a bit but we’ll see.

“𝐠𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐉𝐚𝐦𝐞𝐬 𝐆𝐮𝐧𝐧 𝐭𝐨𝐭𝐚𝐥 𝐜𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞 𝐟𝐫𝐞𝐞𝐝𝐨𝐦 𝐭𝐨 𝐤𝐞𝐞𝐩 𝐛𝐚𝐧𝐤𝐫𝐨𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐰𝐞𝐢𝐫𝐝 𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐣𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐬 𝐬𝐭𝐚𝐫𝐫𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐂 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐃-𝐥𝐢𝐬𝐭 𝐃𝐂 𝐬𝐮𝐩𝐞𝐫𝐡𝐞𝐫𝐨𝐞𝐬 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐲𝐞𝐚𝐫𝐬 𝐭𝐨 𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐞.”.

Ya’ll are obsessed and just to let you know , there aren’t many DC heroes that aren’t weird C & D listers to the GA…

You just want the same 3-4 characters constantly regurgitated the same way but I’m glad that Gunn is being creative and doing some out of the box ideas because it continues to make the genre feel unique & fresh such as a mockumentary true crime series about Jimmy Olsen & Gorilla Grodd which is wild , inventive and crazy thus i hope it is well done and does good too so we can get more imaginative stuff like that!!.
catmandom
catmandom - 9/12/2026, 3:59 PM
So it's Tax Cut Z vs the HeadCutters. We all lose.
dragon316
dragon316 - 9/12/2026, 4:16 PM
Wow first dc sucked in theaters everyone makes big deal out of it when PERFECT MARVEL make movies that suck no one makes big deal out of it how Kevin should be fired reboot marvel and bull crap
Knightrider
Knightrider - 9/12/2026, 4:17 PM
I’ll be honest, the new DCU just isn’t for me. It’s two extremes, at one end it’s very James Gunn humor & random characters, at the other end there is so serious it’s embarrassed by the source material.

I feel like Gunn and Linderoff working together would work well. Gunn would push the Lantern writers to embrace the comic goodness while on the flip side the Lantern’s writers could pull Gunn in when he green lights ideas like singing Gorillas instead of Batman or Wonder Woman
TheFinestSmack
TheFinestSmack - 9/12/2026, 4:25 PM
@Knightrider - I do appreciate you being honest about that. Are you sometimes not honest about these things?
Irregular
Irregular - 9/12/2026, 6:22 PM
@Knightrider - "I’ll be honest,"
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Knightrider
Knightrider - 9/12/2026, 7:29 PM
@TheFinestSmack - Well if I didn’t say I was being honest you’d assume I was lying ha
SteviesRightFoo
SteviesRightFoo - 9/12/2026, 4:21 PM
There is no saving this trash. It needs to be started from scratch again, as exhausting as that is
ObserverIO
ObserverIO - 9/13/2026, 5:55 AM
@SteviesRightFoo - third time lucky.
SteviesRightFoo
SteviesRightFoo - 9/13/2026, 11:25 AM
@ObserverIO - we can only hope
NotMyDiagnosis
NotMyDiagnosis - 9/12/2026, 4:38 PM
Everything hinges on clayface and MOT. If MOT barely makes more than Superman then the DCU is well and truly cooked.
LoudLon
LoudLon - 9/12/2026, 7:11 PM
I didn't realize Gunn's DCU needed saving. It's only a few years into Gunn's running the show but it's already had more successes (Peacemaker, Creature Commandoes, Superman, Lanterns) than failures (Supergirl). And we still have Clayface and Man of Tomorrow coming up. I don't see Clayface doing much (though I won't mind being proved wrong) but I think Man of Tomorrow will at least make as much as Superman, though statistically speaking there's a 50% chance it'll make more.

Anyway, I know a lot of folks here are actively rooting for the DCU to fail. Me, I actually want comic book movies to, you know, SUCCEED. I don't care who's directing them, I just want them to be good. And by and large, I've enjoyed the Gunn's DCU stuff.
vectorsigma
vectorsigma - 9/12/2026, 9:23 PM
@LoudLon - well said. This sote has been a snyder fan hate factory
Forthas
Forthas - 9/12/2026, 9:43 PM
WB is in no way interested in keeping James Gunn. Even if the Paramount drama yields $7 billion, WB is still going to be in huge debt. That money is not going to pay for future DC films. If anything, it would just help the company break even after this year's losses and next year, given they don't have much of a slate of tentpole films coming out. These apologist articles are trying to find a path to save James Gunn from the inevitable. His DC universe is an utter failure except for Lanterns, a show clearly Gunn had little, if any, input in. That series is a grounded, character-driven show that highlights the exact opposite of what James Gunn offers and is clear evidence to the studio that Gunn is and will always be the wrong person for the job.
thobie1
thobie1 - 9/12/2026, 10:26 PM
I first read that as the coalition of the 12 monkeys. I like that better.
TheOtherOn
TheOtherOn - 9/13/2026, 11:56 PM
"Paramount is contractually obligated to pay WB $7 million per day for every day this merger stays stalled. Payments are scheduled to begin on October 1, 2026."

HOW the actual F is THIS even possible?

HOW the F can they write this into a POTENTIAL merger deal?

Is this yet another prime example of corrupt corporate Murica or what?

This merger was NEVER going to happen without the approval of multiple regulatory bodies not just from Murica but from other countries too. There CANNOT be "stalling" from either side when 3rd parties have filed court cases to stop the merger. 🤦‍♂️

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