After making a mere $3.3 million during Thursday previews, Deadline reports that Blue Beetle is now gearing up for a $25 million opening weekend.
That's higher than very early tracking (which placed it under $20 million) but lower than recent predictions of $30+ million. Even $25 million may prove to be something of an overestimate as the number largely hinges on whether Latino and Hispanic audiences will help Blue Beetle exceed expectations.
While the movie opening at the #1 spot seems all but guaranteed, the DC Comics adaptation will have Barbie nipping at its heels. That's estimated to make upwards of $21 million during its fifth weekend in theaters.
Blue Beetle was originally produced for the Max streaming service before pivoting to a theatrical release. It's thought to have cost only $104 million to produce, but that doesn't factor in marketing costs.
With that in mind, the movie will likely need to make at least $250 million - $300 million worldwide to break even.
Not helping matters on that front is Blue Beetle's CinemaScore. Those are generated by polling moviegoers as they leave the theater and the DCEU title doesn't appear to be blowing people away.
With a B+, it's on par with movies like Suicide Squad, Harley Quinn: Birds of Prey, Wonder Woman 1984, The Suicide Squad, Black Adam, and Shazam! Fury of the Gods. With the expectation of the first two, those were all box office disappointments. On the plus side, this is better than The Flash's B score.
Blue Beetle is also perilously close to losing "Certified Fresh" status on Rotten Tomatoes; it needs 75% to maintain that score but has recently dipped to 77%.
In Blue Beetle, recent college grad Jaime Reyes returns home full of aspirations for his future, only to find that home is not quite as he left it. As he searches to find his purpose in the world, fate intervenes when Jaime unexpectedly finds himself in possession of an ancient relic of alien biotechnology: the Scarab.
When the Scarab suddenly chooses Jaime to be its symbiotic host, he is bestowed with an incredible suit of armor capable of extraordinary and unpredictable powers, forever changing his destiny as he becomes the superhero known as Blue Beetle.
Blue Beetle is now playing in theaters.