AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH's CinemaScore Revealed As Threequel Gets Off To A Slow Start At The U.S. Box Office

AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH's CinemaScore Revealed As Threequel Gets Off To A Slow Start At The U.S. Box Office

Avatar: Fire and Ash isn't off to the strongest start at the North American box office, but the threequel's CinemaScore may bode well for the weeks ahead.

By JoshWilding - Dec 20, 2025 01:12 PM EST
Filed Under: Avatar
Source: SFFGazette.com

Avatar: Fire and Ash has finally touched down in theaters, and based on current projections, the movie is eyeing a good, albeit not great, opening weekend in North America.

As we first reported yesterday, the movie grossed $12 million from Thursday preview screenings. With an additional $25 million on Friday, a debut somewhere between $84 million and $88 million seems likely (at a push, it may exceed expectations with $90 million). 

The Avatar movies have always relied more on having legs than on massive opening weekends. In 2009, Avatar opened with $77 million, and like The Way of Water, it ultimately grossed over $2 billion worldwide. Fire and Ash's start is a noteworthy drop from the $134 million we saw its predecessor earn three years ago, however. 

There hasn't been a great deal of excitement surrounding the Avatar threequel, perhaps explaining why Disney is hoping theater-exclusive Avengers: Doomsday teasers will draw MCU fans to multiplexes over the next four weekends. Still, these movies have always done big numbers overseas and in subsequent weekends, with Avatar: Fire and Ash's CinemaScore (via SFFGazette.com) a positive indication for the latter.

As a refresher, CinemaScore is a market research firm that surveys audience reactions to newly released movies.

After attending opening night screenings, moviegoers rate films on an A+ to F scale, providing insights into audience satisfaction. Widely used in the film industry, CinemaScore helps gauge the initial reception of movies and influences box office predictions based on audience feedback.

With an "A" grade, Avatar: Fire and Ash has matched Avatar and Avatar: The Way of Water. On Rotten Tomatoes, the movie has 91% on the fan-generated Popcornmeter. However, its critics' score is a franchise low 67% (compared to Avatar's 81% and the second movie's 76%). As a result, this instalment will not earn itself a "Certified Fresh" badge.

With Avatar: Fire and Ash, Cameron takes audiences back to Pandora in an immersive new adventure with Marine turned Na’vi leader Jake Sully (Sam Worthington), Na’vi warrior Neytiri (Zoe Saldaña), and the Sully family.

The movie also stars Sigourney Weaver, Stephen Lang, Oona Chaplin, Cliff Curtis, Joel David Moore, CCH Pounder, Edie Falco, David Thewlis, Jemaine Clement, Giovanni Ribisi, Britain Dalton, Jamie Flatters, Trinity Jo-Li Bliss, Jack Champion, Brendan Cowell, Bailey Bass, Filip Geljo, Duane Evans, Jr., and Kate Winslet.

Avatar: Fire and Ash is now playing in theaters. 

About The Author:
JoshWilding
Member Since 3/13/2009
Comic Book Reader. Film Lover. WWE and F1 Fan. Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic and ComicBookMovie.com's #1 contributor.
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bobevanz
bobevanz - 12/20/2025, 1:17 PM
1.5bn should be a lock but Avatar 2 was a legacy sequel that came a decade after the first. Of course these movies always leg out so who knows. I'll take his Tsushima movie over more Avatar movies. I watch these for the 3D immersion, if you watch it for the story you're lying haha.
Ryguy88
Ryguy88 - 12/20/2025, 8:36 PM
@bobevanz - literally no one says they watch these for the story
Fogs
Fogs - 12/20/2025, 1:21 PM
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There's noone in the theaters watching this and nobodytalks about it.
WalletsClosed
WalletsClosed - 12/20/2025, 1:27 PM
No one cares about this garbage anymore. 1 made a lot of money for the insane visuals, 2 made a lot of money because there was a decade of improvement of the technology, and 3 won't make shit because everyone knows these are essentially tech showcases and we've seen all we needed to see. Maybe delay the fourth movie until 2036 and maybe it'll make money.

Reboot the MCU and DCU
dragon316
dragon316 - 12/20/2025, 2:22 PM
@WalletsClosed - let this series die
XenoJazz
XenoJazz - 12/20/2025, 2:40 PM
@dragon316 - Why?? What is the big deal with this franchise?? We still get Marvel, DC, star wars movies, Nolan movies, Dune, hundreds of TV shows etc. Why is this franchise that clearly has a fan base not allowed to exist?? I dont understand. You dont have to see it and support since you have so many other options but this one should die cuz it doesn't cater to you??
Simonsonrules
Simonsonrules - 12/20/2025, 5:06 PM
@WalletsClosed - Re: the non sequitur. I take it that Avengers Doomsday and Secret Wars won't count as a reboot? You are entirely convinced that whatever comes after will be garbage?
Nolanite
Nolanite - 12/20/2025, 1:44 PM
People getting suckered in for the 3D in theaters because we all know that 3D in homes was such a flop.

Nolanite out
Colton
Colton - 12/20/2025, 1:51 PM
Imagine paying to watch that nonsense
DocSpock
DocSpock - 12/20/2025, 1:55 PM

People are tired of seeing the same movie over and over. It's beautiful. The story is sh!t. And the kids who badly wanted to see it have grown up and moved on. To people under 30, social media, gaming at home, and screwing with their computer/slash smart phone all day have replaced most other pursuits that require leaving their house.
99OPTIMISTPRIME
99OPTIMISTPRIME - 12/20/2025, 2:33 PM
Probably a good and healthy sign, for the overall industry. Not every single Avatar movie, needs to be a guaranteed billion dollar hit. Ideally you want that kind of budget and creativity, to be used to start new projects & potential franchises.
Lokiwasright
Lokiwasright - 12/20/2025, 3:09 PM
1st wasnt even that good
knighted
knighted - 12/20/2025, 3:49 PM
Saw the 1st at home after the hype a d liked it , saw the second in the theatre and it was good for about the first hour but after that I didnt care anymore and was extremely bored with it. So I will be watching this one from the comfort of home. Im not sitting through the navi learning how to talk to animals again.
bcom
bcom - 12/20/2025, 3:51 PM
I saw the movie last night. Although the movie is obviously visually amazing, there wasn’t much of a story to it. It jumped around a lot. It was basically Avatar 2 with a new tribe and sub-villain introduced that ultimately went nowhere and left thing open for a 4th movie. The climatic battle was essentially the same as The Way of Water’s. Story wise, I think it’s the weakest out of any James Cameron movie so far.
Conquistador
Conquistador - 12/20/2025, 5:01 PM
Just got out. It recycles a few story beats from 1 and 2, but with a good enough variation, aside from Tuk getting kidnapped 'again'.

Varang was cool, but amounted to nothing in the end. The true MVP was Quaritch. The guy was hella funny this time around.

The last scene was really nice but didnt feel like it 'earned' of that character... yet...

All in all... a B+. The HFR was pretty good this time around. The last one gave me a head ache.
Repian
Repian - 12/20/2025, 5:58 PM
James Cameron will surely leave the franchise and continue with Terminator, although I think a new talent could take the reins.

Mattson Tomlin (co-writer of The Batman Part II) wrote the screenplay for Terminator Zero. He and Matt Reeves could work on the script for the Terminator reboot, making it Reeves' first horror film.

Three reasons to believe Reeves is perfect for the franchise: He's meticulous, he could create a dark atmosphere to develop the story, and he directed the latest Planet of the Apes trilogy. The action scenes of the war against the machines are something he could do brilliantly.
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JackDeth
JackDeth - 12/20/2025, 7:11 PM
They all start slow, if you look at the history. There's a reason they release these on Xmas week. Watch the legs on this. I guarantee it will make a billion by the end of the year.
Feralwookiee
Feralwookiee - 12/20/2025, 7:31 PM
This 3 hour cartoon cost over $400 million to produce (alledgedly).
It will have to make over 1 billion just to start breaking even, and while I'm sure it'll do that, I have a feeling it'll sputter out around $1.3 billion, which is barely a return on investment
TheNewYorkerr
TheNewYorkerr - 12/20/2025, 7:46 PM
Horribly overrated franchise. Unfortunately (for those who like it) this 3rd film was kinda.. bad(?) I mean, the 40mins or so that I watched.
Lem1
Lem1 - 12/20/2025, 9:14 PM
The movie was utterly thrilling, amazing, definitely upped their game on this one. The Odyssey prologue was epic and suspenseful and I'm kinda dying ta see the movie again in IMAX 3D. They don't make movies this big every day, and I'm quite impressed with JC's imagination and ability ta give us new things to wonder at
billnye69
billnye69 - 12/20/2025, 10:43 PM
This franchise is just Ferngully.

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