THE MARVELS Long-Range Tracking Points To Disappointing $50M-$75M Domestic Debut

THE MARVELS Long-Range Tracking Points To Disappointing $50M-$75M Domestic Debut

Long-range box office tracking for The Marvels is in, and Marvel Studios and director Nia DaCosta's MCU sequel is predicted to take in a disappointing $50M-$75M during its opening weekend...

News
By MarkCassidy - Oct 12, 2023 08:10 PM EST
Filed Under: The Marvels

The Marvels is set to hit theaters on November 10, and long-range box office forecasts are pointing to a pretty disappointing opening weekend for the Captain Marvel sequel.

According to BoxOfficePro.com, Marvel Studios' latest MCU adventure is expected to take in between $50 million and $75M million domestically.

This wouldn't be a bad haul for a regular studio tentpole, but, well, for some context, the first Captain Marvel movie took in $153 million when it hit theaters back in 2019. The site notes that pre-sale trends for The Marvels are currently 42% behind Eternals, 69% behind Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3, and 72% behind Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania.

It also mentions that the film could take in as little as $121million -$189 million over the course of its entire domestic run.

Again, these are just long-range predictions, which have been known to be way off in the past, so best not to write off The Marvels just yet.

We recently got confirmation that the sequel will indeed be the shortest MCU movie yet, clocking in at just 1 hour and 45 minutes with credits. Another report indicated that it would also be one of the most modestly budgeted MCU films ($130 million), but this was later debunked. The space-set superhero flick's actual budget is closer to $220 million.

"In Marvel Studios’ The Marvels, Carol Danvers aka Captain Marvel has reclaimed her identity from the tyrannical Kree and taken revenge on the Supreme Intelligence. But unintended consequences see Carol shouldering the burden of a destabilized universe. When her duties send her to an anomalous wormhole linked to a Kree revolutionary, her powers become entangled with that of Jersey City super-fan Kamala Khan, aka Ms. Marvel, and Carol’s estranged niece, now S.A.B.E.R. astronaut Captain Monica Rambeau. Together, this unlikely trio must team up and learn to work in concert to save the universe as The Marvels.”

The film also stars Zawe Ashton and Park Seo-joon. Nia DaCosta directs, and Kevin Feige is the producer. Louis D’Esposito, Victoria Alonso, Mary Livanos and Matthew Jenkins serve as executive producers. The screenplay is by Megan McDonnell, Nia DaCosta, Elissa Karasik and Zeb Wells.

The Marvels will begin its international rollout on November 8, and was recently granted a China release on November 10, day-and-date with North America.

Do you plan on seeing The Marvels in theaters opening weekend? Drop us a comment down below.

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SethBullock
SethBullock - 10/12/2023, 8:50 PM
Not surprised, this looks terrible, and I'm not even a hater of the first one, which I thought that was fine for an origin movie and was better than most phase 4 movies.
Reginator
Reginator - 10/13/2023, 10:32 AM
@SethBullock - I was in deadwood and saw the Bullock hotel last month. Loved he deadwood series.
AFriendFromWork
AFriendFromWork - 10/12/2023, 8:51 PM
Not the best film to release when Disney are trying to recapture the hype of the MCU of 5 years ago.

Lacklustre trailers for a sequel to a 5 year old movie that was only popular because of the film preceding and succeeding it. It doesn’t have a lot going for it.

Antman 3 is still fresh and as good as guardians 3 was, isn’t going to be enough to drive the enthusiasm train into this film.

I feel bad for Iman Vellani. Her passion and enthusiasm is great but.
Forthas
Forthas - 10/12/2023, 8:52 PM
I think it will put perform that high end number.
TheLobster
TheLobster - 10/12/2023, 8:58 PM
If this comes to fruition then major yikes lol

No way this makes a Billion.
santoanderson
santoanderson - 10/12/2023, 9:00 PM
Remember a couple of weeks ago when it was reported that this movie *only* had a $100-ish million dollar budget? And everyone said “Okay! Great! After Quantumania Marvel learned that not EVERY movie they make needs to cost a quarter of a billion dollars!”

…and a day later all the movie sites said “Whoops! Nevermind! The Marvels’ production budget is, in fact, $275 million! Our bad! This movie needs to make a billion dollars at the box office to break even!”
WakandanQueen
WakandanQueen - 10/12/2023, 9:14 PM
@santoanderson - Even if this had a $100M budget it wouldn't have been in response to Quantumania... because this was shot before Quantumania came out.
LSHF
LSHF - 10/12/2023, 10:59 PM
@santoanderson - I don't believe anything I read here unless it's from the studio. I consider almost everything else clickbait. Clickbait after clickbait after clickbait...
eagc1995
eagc1995 - 10/12/2023, 11:57 PM
@WakandanQueen - Yeah, heck at one point it was going to release before it
JoJo1982
JoJo1982 - 10/13/2023, 1:07 AM
@santoanderson - the Marvels budget is 220 million

It’s needs 500 mil just to break even, which is possible for the movie.
Usernametaken
Usernametaken - 10/13/2023, 10:07 AM
@JoJo1982 - we're at the point where we don't talk about Marvel movies breaking records, making a billion or do better than the previous movie.

Now it's: "I believe it can break even".

The superhero fad is ending, I wonder what will the next one be though.
Toonstrack
Toonstrack - 10/13/2023, 10:38 PM
@Usernametaken - breaking even is an accomplishment this year when even big franchises are flopping.
TheUnworthyThor
TheUnworthyThor - 10/12/2023, 9:01 PM
Maybe, and hear me out here Marvel, but just maybe if you have a successful movie you don’t change the name of the franchise and shift focus away from the star for it’s first direct sequel (unless you’re Batman and are sharing the focus with The Joker).
WakandanQueen
WakandanQueen - 10/12/2023, 9:23 PM
@TheUnworthyThor - Eh, the name/branding change came at a time when the Marvel brand had a lot of momentum and they tried to get "nerdier" with titles but at this rate, a more market friendly, generic Captain Marvel: Subtitle could have helped. Wouldn't be too surprised if this holds best compared to the first one in markets where it's released as Captain Marvel 2.
Bokis
Bokis - 10/13/2023, 7:32 AM
@AFriendFromWork - I think it's gonna be super interesting seeing how The Marvels and Aquaman 2 perform. Both came out in the peak of comic book movie hype and grossed over 1bn dollars each. Just 4-5 years later there's like zero enthusiasm around them.
JobinJ
JobinJ - 10/12/2023, 9:02 PM
Marvel is dying.
KaptainKhaos
KaptainKhaos - 10/12/2023, 9:17 PM
@JobinJ - Marvel died after it peaked at The Winter Soldier
GeneralZod
GeneralZod - 10/12/2023, 9:50 PM
@KaptainKhaos - You mean Endgame (2019). $2.8 billion at the box office.
AllsGood
AllsGood - 10/12/2023, 10:20 PM
@KaptainKhaos - Captain America: The Winter Soldier (2014) was at the low end of the box office. Couldn't even beat Thor: Love and Thunder, Black Panther 2, Dr. Strange Multiverse or Doctor, Guardians 3.

DOMESTIC = $259,766,572

INTERNATIONAL = $454,654,931

WORLDWIDE = $714,421,503
AllsGood
AllsGood - 10/12/2023, 10:38 PM
@JobinJ - Marvel Dying I don't think so. Marvel Studios Phase 1

Iron Man (2008) Worldwide = $585,796,247
Iron-Man 2 (2010) Worldwide = $623,933,331

Captain America: The First Avenger (2011) Worldwide = $370,569,774
Thor (2011) Worldwide = $449,326,618
Thor: The Dark World (2013) Worldwide = $644,783,140
JoJo1982
JoJo1982 - 10/13/2023, 1:01 AM
@GeneralZod - Are you sure? *looks at No Way Home and GotG 3*
marvel72
marvel72 - 10/13/2023, 8:27 AM
@AllsGood -

Different time tickets were cheaper and movies were cheaper to make and The Avengers was in phase 1 but you don't include that.
GeneralZod
GeneralZod - 10/13/2023, 8:35 AM
@JoJo1982 - Yes, I am sure. Question for you: did NWH or GOTG3 make $2.8 billion or more at the box office? Yes or no answer, please.
IronMan616
IronMan616 - 10/13/2023, 8:48 AM
@AllsGood - Dude, gtfo with that nonsense. I've already told you plenty of times, those are ticket sales when tickets were $5-$8. Compare ticket prices, adjust for inflation.

I already tried to make a ban bet with you, if The Marvels makes a profit, I'll stop posting here and won't even come back as an alt, if the movie is a bomb, you leave. You didn't want to take me up on that bet.
JFerguson
JFerguson - 10/12/2023, 9:05 PM
The character confuses me.
GhostDog
GhostDog - 10/12/2023, 9:06 PM
@JFerguson - the character has always kind of sucked. Even in the comics.

They should’ve put this investment into Black Widow. She should’ve had a solo trilogy or at least 2 films years ago
harryba11zack
harryba11zack - 10/12/2023, 9:05 PM
Another impressive victory for the DC Cinematic Universe
JoJo1982
JoJo1982 - 10/13/2023, 1:30 AM
@harryba11zack - lol unmmmmm *looks at DC, flopping with 4 movies in a row for now).
HashTagSwagg
HashTagSwagg - 10/12/2023, 9:06 PM
SauronthePower
SauronthePower - 10/13/2023, 3:18 AM
@HashTagSwagg - my dude….while I completely disagree, I WILL readily admit that this gif is funny as f&@k
MyCoolYoung
MyCoolYoung - 10/12/2023, 9:08 PM
How this is received by audiences will be everything. It seems like this year box office has been down but I don't really know. I'm just hoping for a good 'movie
Scarilian
Scarilian - 10/13/2023, 9:12 AM
@MyCoolYoung -
I don't think anyone was really asking for this film honestly. Even those that enjoyed Captain Marvel 2, were you really asking for a sequel where she fights a sex-swapped Ronan The Accuser knock-off while swapping places with two other characters that have vaguely defined powers and abilities?

It was possible to make a Captain Marvel sequel and have it resonate with fans, instead it seems they have done everything they can to alienate people's interest:

The first trailer even intentionally referenced the 'smile' controversy that plagued the first film where people were concerned about the directing of Brie Larson (Not being allowed to emote much) and the newer trailers showed off dodgy CGI and the latest trying to avoid showing the film at all just doing flashbacks to more popular characters.

Even the choice of who to include the film, Nick Fury makes some sense but you are requiring your audience to have watched three Disney+ shows to understand the developments with the characters, let alone the world building caused by Secret Invasion where it's revealed Nick Fury lied about securing a place for the Skrulls along with the President making aliens illegal and the creation of a Super Skrull with the powers of every hero and villain who I guess is just doing her own thing?
Feralwookiee
Feralwookiee - 10/12/2023, 9:09 PM
The first CM took in $426 million domestically.
This movie is tracking to take in less than HALF of that.

Winston19
Winston19 - 10/12/2023, 9:10 PM
lol not surprised at all
EskimoJ
EskimoJ - 10/12/2023, 9:12 PM
Yikes! 😬

I mean, just how "long-range" are these projections now, the movie's under a month away.
SwingsetKnight
SwingsetKnight - 10/12/2023, 9:16 PM
Yeah, I dunno, apart from anything else, the premise just seems kind of small-potatoes on this one. It's like if Winter Soldier's plot basically stalled out at Cap trying to beat Batroc the Leaper because he got hit with an annoying debuff that forced him to become bros with Danny Rand and Fandral first. Is it kind of a funny premise? Sure. Is it must-see event cinema? Not really...
KaptainKhaos
KaptainKhaos - 10/12/2023, 9:16 PM
But this movie isn't woke nor is it anti men (no men as villains), this should absolutely make TWO BILLION
EgoEgor
EgoEgor - 10/12/2023, 9:26 PM
@KaptainKhaos - Because it's Brie Larsson my dude and it has females. That's enough for them(by them i mean the "go woke, go broke" people)... but it doesn't help that this looks like utter crap.
JoJo1982
JoJo1982 - 10/13/2023, 1:33 AM
@EgoEgor - what is woke?
EgoEgor
EgoEgor - 10/13/2023, 10:52 AM
@JoJo1982 - used to mean something in the black community, now it just means "progressive/left things I don't like or agree with". It's a Trojan horse pejorative to attack left views and they generally use bad media to represent it... nobody labels Mad Max: Fury Road as "woke" yet it is the most feminist and anti-patriarchy action film ever imo.
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