AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER Expected To Clear Half A Billion Worldwide This Weekend

AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER Expected To Clear Half A Billion Worldwide This Weekend

Avatar: The Way of Water hits theaters this Friday, and James Cameron's sci-fi sequel may be looking at a $500 million+ opening weekend! Check out the latest box office updates...

By MarkCassidy - Dec 14, 2022 08:12 AM EST
Filed Under: Avatar

Avatar: The Way of Water is set to hit theaters this Friday, and the latest box office estimates indicate that the sci-fi sequel could be looking at a phenomenal opening weekend.

According to Deadline (via SFFGazette.com), the movie should take in between $150M - $175M in the U.S., and in the range of $340M - $350M overseas. This could potentially give The Way of Water a global total of $525M - taking it past the half a billion mark after a single weekend on release.

Director James Cameron recently stated that his film would probably need to take in over $2 billion worldwide by the end of its theatrical run just to break even, and while that obviously remains to be seen, it seems to be off to a very strong start!

These are highly encouraging predictions, but there is a chance The Way of Water's mammoth 3 hours, 10 minutes run-time could work against it when it comes to word-of-mouth and repeat viewings. Audiences have become accustomed to lengthy blockbusters (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever came in at just under 3 hours, for example), but anything over the 3 hour mark tends to test attention spans - and bladders.

At any rate, there's a reason we're frequently warned never to bet against Cameron, and the movie has been recieving highly positive reviews thus far.

With Avatar: The Way of Water, the cinematic experience reaches new heights as Cameron transports audiences back to the magnificent world of Pandora in a spectacular and stirring action-packed adventure.

Set more than a decade after the events of the first film, Avatar: The Way of Water begins to tell the story of the Sully family (Jake, Neytiri, and their kids), the trouble that follows them, the lengths they go to keep each other safe, the battles they fight to stay alive, and the tragedies they endure.

Directed by James Cameron and produced by Cameron and Jon Landau, the Lightstorm Entertainment Production stars Sam Worthington, Zoe Saldaña, Sigourney Weaver, Stephen Lang and Kate Winslet. Screenplay by James Cameron & Rick Jaffa & Amanda Silver. Story by James Cameron & Rick Jaffa & Amanda Silver & Josh Friedman & Shane Salerno. David Valdes and Richard Baneham serve as the film’s executive producers.

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Origame
Origame - 12/14/2022, 8:08 AM
...isn't endgame at over 3 hours? Where's the evidence longer runtime hurts the box office?

If anything, time is showing the longer the runtime the better end result.
ShimmyShimmyYA
ShimmyShimmyYA - 12/14/2022, 8:29 AM
@Origame - less showings, but if the movie is good it negates that
Origame
Origame - 12/14/2022, 8:52 AM
@ShimmyShimmyYA - less showing only amounts to less potential. If that genuinely effected box office all movies would try to be 90 minutes to squeeze in the most showings.
Iports
Iports - 12/14/2022, 8:09 AM
Looking at the bookings around 5 different cinemas in north east of England

All booked up all weekend and until Wednesday

That’s Newcastle ,Durham ,Sunderland

Think only a few 2d showings where available with shit seats

Had to just go for normal 3d showing as I couldn’t get in a iMax screen

I do believe it will get repeat viewings tho like the first

malschla
malschla - 12/14/2022, 8:32 AM
@Iports - I’m wondering if this movie has bigger draw in England than the US? I just did a check for my suburban town in the US, and the “busiest” showing for Thursday has less than a dozen people in it so far. The vast majority have no tickets pre-sold.
SimplyAz
SimplyAz - 12/14/2022, 8:11 AM

Cameron will always be the biggest Director ever for me personally. Would never doubt him.
Conquistador
Conquistador - 12/14/2022, 8:16 AM
It's going to make bank either way.. the real test comes with it's around week 10. I think it will be biggest post pandemic, but less sure it will get close to top 5.

The re releases when avater 3 (and maybe 4 and 5) come around will help that though.

I do wonder though, if the budget for 2 was 350 (before marketing) does that mean 3 was around the same?

I just always thought they included a round production budget for it as they were produced together.
Origame
Origame - 12/14/2022, 10:44 AM
@UniqNo - bare minimum the following movies will have comparatively lower budgets since most of that budget was in terms of Cameron developing the tech for this film.
Mugens
Mugens - 12/14/2022, 8:17 AM
I just wonder if this film will do what the first did with 3D tech when it comes to TV and things. I actually think the fad would have had a better lasting affect if studios jumping on the bandwagon wouldn't have put out crap "supposedly" 3D content and put the time and money into making real good 3D films as Cameron did and has.
bobevanz
bobevanz - 12/14/2022, 8:17 AM
2 billion to break even.. on the budget for the next two movies. Come on now. It's breaking every december record and that's a fact
bobevanz
bobevanz - 12/14/2022, 8:18 AM
@bobevanz - sorry the budget for 2 and 3. Gotcha journalism doesn't work around there parts
Origame
Origame - 12/14/2022, 9:28 AM
@bobevanz - yeah. Has a budget of 400 mil. Unless this movie has a disproportionately high marketing budget, there's no way 2 bil is the break even number.

And let's face it. The marketing probably isn't all that high considering the budget. I've seen mcu movies with more in marketing, and those movies don't cost 400 mil.
EgoEgor
EgoEgor - 12/14/2022, 8:18 AM
I don't get it. I really don't the appeal of this franchise. It's pretty, but the story is vapid, unoriginal and uninspiring. It's a bargain bin sci-fi story idea, not like this is Dune or something. It's a hype machine I guess.
Feralwookiee
Feralwookiee - 12/14/2022, 8:36 AM
@EgoEgor - "It's pretty, but the story is vapid, unoriginal and uninspiring."

-That exactly why movies like this are popular. Your average moviegoer nowadays does not want to be challeneded and likes safe predictable content. That's why there will be only more of the same going forward.

Do get me wrong, I enjoy a fun dumb big movie from time to tine, but that shouldn't be the only thing out there. There is very little risk taking or original content in today's entertainment. Hollywood is a creative void.
Iports
Iports - 12/14/2022, 9:52 AM
@Feralwookiee - perfectly said pal!! The average movie goer is not after Nolan level story telling ! Hense black Adam’s half successful run
malschla
malschla - 12/14/2022, 8:27 AM
It’s weird, because while I don’t doubt the reports, I don’t know a single person who is planning on seeing this movie. Granted, movies aren’t the number one topic in my life, but they do come up regularly… and I am not exaggerating when I state that nobody has mentioned this movie to me.
EgoEgor
EgoEgor - 12/14/2022, 8:30 AM
@malschla - Exactly the same from me as well. I don't know anyone talking about. I barely talk about it. I hope this does well, maybe that'll open up more sci-fi films but I don't know anyone who is seeing this movie.
ShimmyShimmyYA
ShimmyShimmyYA - 12/14/2022, 8:31 AM
I’ll see this when it comes to streaming
marvel72
marvel72 - 12/14/2022, 8:31 AM
Even though Top Gun:Maverick will be the better movie this will more than likely out gross it worldwide.
ProudPatriot76
ProudPatriot76 - 12/14/2022, 8:49 AM
Still have no interest in this. It’s Dances with Wolves featuring blue creatures.
NotchJohnson
NotchJohnson - 12/14/2022, 9:15 AM
I don't get it at all but different strokes I guess.
Imprtracr1
Imprtracr1 - 12/14/2022, 9:16 AM
I still don't personally know anyone who cares about these movies. It's strange in a way.
itzayaboy
itzayaboy - 12/14/2022, 9:17 AM
Wish this would flop. Cameron is a dick
Origame
Origame - 12/14/2022, 9:30 AM
@itzayaboy - Cameron has really only ever been arrogant about his talent. Why is that reason to wish it flops?

You have people from multiple major franchises openly hating on their fanbases.
Iports
Iports - 12/14/2022, 9:55 AM
@itzayaboy - he’s not a dick he’s just passionate and he has very strong views about movies of past but that’s his opinion it don’t make him a dick becouse you don’t like it
DoubleD
DoubleD - 12/14/2022, 9:46 AM
Bought my tickets party of 4 going DOLBY CINEMA 3D COMPLETELY CAPTIVATING I-MAX viewing Friday afternoon :)


Pathogen
Pathogen - 12/14/2022, 11:13 AM
I'm totally surprised that people want to SEE this film, based on how terrible the first one was
WEAPONXOXOXO
WEAPONXOXOXO - 12/14/2022, 12:07 PM
I hope it does well and that it's a fun ride.
TocharianMonk
TocharianMonk - 12/14/2022, 12:26 PM
Why? The first one wasn't good, and I've heard the same complaints about this one.
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