AVATAR 2 Re-Release And The Rock's THE SMASHING MACHINE Will Be KO'd By TAYLOR SWIFT Movie At The Box Office

AVATAR 2 Re-Release And The Rock's THE SMASHING MACHINE Will Be KO'd By TAYLOR SWIFT Movie At The Box Office

Taylor Swift: The Official Release Party of a Showgirl was only announced two weeks ago, but it looks set to dominate both Avatar: The Way of Water's re-release and The Smashing Machine this weekend...

By JoshWilding - Oct 04, 2025 06:10 AM EST
Filed Under: Avatar
Source: Deadline

Black Adam ended Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson's hopes to take over the DCEU, while his attempted foray into football with the XFL concluded with a whimper when it was forced to merge with the USFL. 

Seeking to repair his image—his sitcom, Young Rock, was cancelled around the same time—Johnson returned to WWE. He received a mixed response from fans after attempting to hijack various storylines, and hasn't been seen in the ring since March. Now, he's focused on starring in the type of movies that have the potential to win him an Oscar. 

Moving on from action roles, Johnson has signed up for various dramatic roles, starting with this weekend's A24 Mark Kerr biopic, The Smashing Machine

Disney, meanwhile, is looking to increase excitement for December's Avatar: Fire and Ash with an Avatar: The Way of Water re-release. The twist? There will be three new preview clips for the threequel attached to the 2022 movie, but audiences won't know which one they're getting. 

However, what neither Johnson nor Disney anticipated was some last-minute competition from singer Taylor Swift. Announced last month, Taylor Swift: The Official Release Party of a Showgirl looks set to dominate North American theaters this weekend with an estimated $29 million - $31 million opening weekend. 

Some estimates point to Swifties pushing the "movie" as high as $40 million, and it's taken premium large format screens from both The Smashing Machine and Avatar: The Way of Water.

The latter is only expected to add $3 million to its $2.3 billion haul this weekend, while the movie that Johnson hopes could see him nab an Oscar (or at least a nomination) is eyeing a $6 million - $7 million start behind One Battle After Another in its second weekend in theaters. 

A movie doesn't need to be a box office hit to score awards, of course, but this will come as a blow to Johnson. Still, his status as a guaranteed fide box office draw is arguably behind him, and analysts are pointing fingers squarely at Taylor Swift: The Official Release Party of a Showgirl for the UFC movie's drop from initial $20 million opening estimates. 

The Smashing Machine has been awarded a B- CinemaScore from audiences, and has 73% on Rotten Tomatoes from critics and 79% from audiences. For comparison's sake, Taylor Swift: The Official Release Party of a Showgirl has an A+ CinemaScore and 98% on the Popcornmeter (only two reviews have been counted, both of which were positive). 

What will you be heading to theaters to watch this weekend?

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Mrcool210
Mrcool210 - 10/4/2025, 6:32 AM
I have nothing against Taylor Swift but I hate the effect she seems to have. Like I'm sorry a concert movie should not ever be serious competition. Sure it should best avatar 2, that's a re release. But if the smashing machine doesn't do well you know the rock will never try serious acting ever again.

If you like her great more power too you but don't invade every other aspect of life with Taylor Swift. She's fine as a musician she can stay as just that please.
dragon316
dragon316 - 10/4/2025, 7:49 AM
@Mrcool210 - I feel same way but he stupid people say Taylor swift make nfl popular with more fans how is it every single Taylor swift movie she was in never hit billion , but any movie she’s not in have made billion avatar , avengers end game Deadpool 3 , aquaman long list .,

Her movies do we’ll never make billion come close to billion dumb ass butt kissing nfl and reporter need see that
dragon316
dragon316 - 10/4/2025, 7:50 AM
@dragon316 - true story movies don’t usually do that some if there lucky will make profit true story movies don’t usually do well except revenant and titanic

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