Green Lantern Is Tracking For $60M Opening Weekend; Reviews Embargoed Until June 16?

i'm hoping to go this weekend,it better be good.

as for no reveiws,could this mean its been slaughtered by the critics.

who can tell ?

That won't happen, you have so many other blockbusters surrounding this movie, before and after. Will debut at number 1 but not open with that much. High hopes for this movie though :)

For any normal movie, a $60 million dollar opening would be great, but this is a big summer event blockbuster. Before Iron Man, a B List Superhero opening to $60 million would be great. But Iron Man changed that, and Green Lantern hopes to immitate that (similar marketing blitzkreig, Ryan Reynolds being marketed like Robert Downey Jr.)

The biggest diffrence and thing going against Green Lantern from Iron Man is that Iron Man opened the first week of May, the first big summer blockbuster event after months of lackluster films. Thor already filled that spot. Green Lantern comes out in the middle of June, meaning it is going up agaist a lot of summer films and basically has to make it's money now or fall (comes out the week before Cars 2 and two weeks before Transformers: Dark of the Moon, two series with built in audiences). Warner's hopes to repeat Batman Begins again by opening it the same weekend, but the Incredible Hulk opened the same week that Green Lantern opens to, and theses two green superheroes might me the fate.

I hope it does well, but some peoples expectations will get to high. Over by a dollar, your king of the world, under by a dollar, it's the end of the world. Hopefully Green Lantern gets good reviews (but the embargo has me worried) and has legs at the boxoffice (like X-Men: First Class). Looks badass and i will be there opening day with a bunch of friends to see it.

I've actually found that, so far this summer, Rotten Tomatoes pre-release "Want to see" rankings to align well with the openings of the film... mostly in the number of people who vote (seeing as most anyone who bothers to vote wants to see the film in question, hence they all have high-90% ranges there.) Thor had over 60,000 votes by the time it opened to $65m. I believe the X-men were in the high 40,000s. Super-8 was somewhere right around 30,000. Currently Green Lantern is at 51,453. Unlike Thor and X-men, it hasn't been increasing all that much leading up to release.

For comparison, Captain America is at 49,431 with well over a month (and the majority of its advertising) still to go. I expect interest in that one to rise quite a bit.

Harry Potter is the big leader of the summer with a current vote tally of 105,512.

i confirm RoadDogXXIV 's comment about the reviews... not a good sign.

I also note that this is quite clearly the most expensive comic book film of the summer. We know that the original budget got pumped up some more in post production in order to get the effects done on time and to quality, and WB has really opened the money vaults on advertising this thing.

Honestly, they don't care about making their money back as long as they establish a legitimate foot in the door for a new franchise (or at least leave open the possibility for "The Flash" and "JLA".) Major studios don't make money back on theatrical releases... even moderately priced ones. They hit the black well after they've left theaters.

I say this movie will open between 60 to 100 million....I read some good reviews yesterday, won't do The Dark Knight numbers but I think it can have the chane to do Iron Man numbers.

At least the one user review on IMDB is a good one. I think it will be exactly what it says it is going for...a really good superhero movie.

Review embargoes are usually a bad sign.

$60 million aint bad, but Thor did $65 mil to open. Keep in mind that Thor had a $150 million budget. GL has a budget of $200 mil. It could make $200 million which is more than Thor but still technically bomb. Much like Superman Returns.

The embargo could mean that the reviews will be bad, but they're not withholding the film from reviewers until the last minute, which is the sure sign of a stinker. Keeping reviews off until Thursday lets them freeze critical word-of-mouth where it is long enough to get people to make plans on seeing it this weekend. "I heard people on twitter say it was great!"

Plus, they know that critics jazzed about the film will drop word that it's good beforehand, but fewer people who thought the film was average or nothing special will bother to leak their opinions prior to their actual reviews.

If you can't go to Rotten Tomatoes and get a consensus (which might not end up being bad... just average), then the mere rumor that it's good is what they're hoping people will go by. If word of this embargo begins to be a story in itself, suggesting the film stinks, then look to WB to suddenly allow reviews much sooner.

ha look at his face lol...well still seeing it either way cause its the last day of my finals :)

Personally, going by the buzz I hear, a lot of people want to see this...from kids to business people to soccer moms, etc. I've heard kids reciting the oath in a supermarket! Add in Wed/Thurs sneaks and 3D prices and it would not surprise me if it got an opening AT LEAS in the 80 million range. More people know who GL is than THOR or IRON MAN. SAfter all, GL has been around for around 60 years! Even my grandfather knows the name...though he doesn't get out to movie theaters!

Dunno, could have to do with spoilers. I still think GL will be one of the best movies this summer, if not this year.

@WarRocketAjax Who are you talking to?

I studied film in college and worked in the biz years ago. I know what I'm talking about and have said for many months now this movie will not be the huge hit that was expected by GL fans. They'll be lucky to make $150 mil this summer. Those saying $300 mil domestic were insane.

Holding back reviews is nearly the same as not screening early for critics. Sometimes it doesn't mean anything, but in this case I feel the movie is likely very cheesy and appeals only to fans which is not enough to make a huge profit.

The fact is there's too many movies this summer. Pirates underperformed compared to it's predecessors. Kung Fu Panda too. Cars 2 will likely not the typical hit Pixar is accustomed to. Thor was about where I thought and X-Men First Class is close though behind what I figured. Captain America will probably be a $140-160 million movie which is okay but not what Marvel was hoping for.

The only sure $300 million hit this summer is Harry Potter and Transformers. They are critic proof.

signs this movie is going to blow
1 no reviews till a day before
2-runtime is 1:45 with credits so its actually probably 1:39 thats kins of short for an origin movie. thor was around 2 hours and it still needed stuff to be fleshed out
3-"I KNOW RIGHT!!!"
4-Blake lively as carol ferris
5 the mask still looks like shit

Of all the CBMs this year this is the one that is hardest to please mainstream viewers and reviewers with. Knowing that reviewers may be comparing it to the competition already in theaters and not be totally down with the "Star Wars-ripoff" science fiction elements that really arn't ripoffs but original elements to the comic may mean more negative reviews for this movie than a typical comic book movie.

I mean, come on, guys. It's a comic book movie. We should be glad we're getting something other than Batman and Superman from DC. Plus, I think the parts after Hal gets the ring, especially on Oa, look fairly dark and serious. Plus, from everything I've seen, this movie looks very true to the "Green Lantern: Secret Origins" storyline