TENET Reportedly Needs To Gross Over $800 Million At The Worldwide Box Office To Break Even

TENET Reportedly Needs To Gross Over $800 Million At The Worldwide Box Office To Break Even

There's more bad news for Tenet today as a new report indicates that Christopher Nolan's mysterious sci-fi movie will need to gross over $800 million at the worldwide box office if it hopes to break even.

By JoshWilding - Jul 15, 2020 04:07 AM EST
Filed Under: Sci-Fi
Source: Indie Wire

Christopher Nolan is hopeful that Tenet will be the movie that helps re-open theaters across the globe, but as the weeks pass, that's looking increasingly unlikely. COVID-19 cases remain on the rise, and Warner Bros. won't want to be the studio that gets to take credit for contributing to that by encouraging people to return to crowded multiplexes. 

We've already heard that the movie might struggle to break even given the current global climate, but a new report from Indie Wire claims that it will need to earn at least $800 million to do so. 

The production budget was reportedly around $400 million, accounting for the combined production and marketing budgets. Given the fact Nolan frequently delivers massive successes for Warner Bros., it's no great surprise that the studio was happy to let him spend this much, and he frequently nears that all-important $1 billion mark in global box office receipts. 

The $800 million figure seems almost ridiculously high, but it adds up, and could pose serious problems for Tenet. This certainly eliminates the possibility of any sort of Digital release, even with rumours swirling that studios could be considering releasing movies in countries where COVID-19 isn't too bad, and then making pricey day and date releases a priority in the United States.

At this point, it arguably seems clear that Warner Bros. should just push Tenet to next year...

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AC1
AC1 - 7/15/2020, 4:41 AM
Honestly, this situation is an area of film production that I'm not entirely clued up on, but putting Christopher Nolan's feelings on the matter aside for a moment - would delaying the release until next year cost the studio any more than they've already spent on the movie?

Surely their best shot at earning their money back is releasing it during what would normally be the busiest time for cinemas (i.e. summer) and leaving it until next year so that hopefully things are much closer to some sense of normality again.

Obviously that sucks for Nolan himself. On the one hand it's admirable he wants to release his movie ASAP as a show of solidarity with cinemas, given that they are on the decline and need all the support they can get - and anyone who says "watching a movie at home is better" just doesn't get it. But on the other hand, it's a public safety issue, and it's not worth thousands of people dying and millions ending up with lifelong health issues even if they do recover.

I'm so looking forward to watching Tenet, and for me it's gonna be a must-see at cinemas. IMAX can pretty already count on getting my money. But only when the time's right and it's safe to go back.
AC1
AC1 - 7/15/2020, 4:42 AM
@AC1 - *pretty much
DoubleD
DoubleD - 7/15/2020, 4:50 AM
NOT This year maybe 2021.
Tpo81
Tpo81 - 7/15/2020, 4:52 AM
This movie will undoubtedly be amazing cuz it’s Nolan & that’s what he does.That being said there’s no way in hell this movie makes a fraction of that money.They should just put it out on a streaming service
DoubleD
DoubleD - 7/15/2020, 4:57 AM
@Tpo81 - Straight to streaming guarantees a huge lost except for lower budget movies.
Tpo81
Tpo81 - 7/16/2020, 12:10 PM
@DoubleD - so does releasing it in theaters.And considering the way things are right now it’s either you hold off for maybe forever or release the movie and make what u can off vod
DoubleD
DoubleD - 7/15/2020, 4:54 AM
IF NO Vaccine Coronavirus will get much worst come Fall and when Flu Season begins.
Kyos
Kyos - 7/15/2020, 4:54 AM
So Inception money to break even, Dark Knight money to be a financial hit? That seems ambitious, even leaving the pandemic aside.
TheUnworthyThor
TheUnworthyThor - 7/15/2020, 4:55 AM
That would be tough to pull off in a normal year. This year? Yikes.

KWilly
KWilly - 7/15/2020, 5:00 AM
I mean, even without a pandemic, this would be a hard task to succeed. Nolan probably investing in a time machine rn so he can release this movie last year.

Chewtoy
Chewtoy - 7/15/2020, 5:04 AM
The numbers here are all screwy. There is no way it could break even with an $800m gross if that much had been spent on it... remember the gross doesn’t all go back to the studio. I can believe the $800m goal, but not the $400m budget *plus* advertising costs.

And it’s insanity if WB actually gave Nolan a $400m budget. “...he frequently nears that all-important $1 billion mark in global box office receipts.” No he doesn’t. Only 3 of his films have even made it to the $800m mark, and 2 of them starred Batman. Further, each film that he’s released has made less than the previous one since The Dark Knight.

He’s a hugely successful director, and one of the few who can routinely turn in an original premise with blockbuster potential, but it doesn’t mean that a studio is just going to write him a blank check and give him an Avengers Infinity War sized budget. A $400m production budget seems like crazy talk.
Chewtoy
Chewtoy - 7/15/2020, 5:11 AM
Note: the “each film made less” bit is technically not true, because I forgot that Inception came between Dark Knight films.
Spidey91
Spidey91 - 7/15/2020, 5:17 AM
god damn. I know the guy uses practical effects whanever possible but, jeez. WB needs to stop writing blank checks for their directors and then complaining later their movies underperform.
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