CAPTAIN AMERICA: BRAVE NEW WORLD Tracking Towards $81M - $107M Box Office Debut; Update On New Trailer

Early box office tracking for Captain America: Brave New World is online, and the next Marvel Studios movie is expected to take in between $81M - $107M domestically when it hits theaters next month...

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By MarkCassidy - Jan 10, 2025 03:01 PM EST

Filed Under: Captain America: Brave New World

We're still just over a month away from the release of the next Marvel Studios movie, Captain America: Brave New World, and early box office tracking for Sam Wilson's (Anthony Mackie) first big-screen outing as the Sentinel of Liberty is now online.

It's still very early days for an accurate estimate, but according to Box Office Theory, the latest MCU adventure looks set for a domestic opening weekend of between $81 million and 107 million (a final domestic total of $195-280 million is predicted).

This wouldn't exactly be a spectacular bow (and quite a bit behind Deadpool and Wolverine's $211 million), but keep in mind that these are only domestic estimates.

Though the most recent trailer did go over a lot better than the initial teaser, anticipation for the film has been somewhat muted. Mixed/negative test-screening reports haven't helped, and it remains to be seen if this fourth Cap movie - and first without Steve Rogers - can keep the momentum going after Deadpool and Wolverine's record-breaking BO run.

As for our next preview of Brave New World, Marvel has yet to announce a new trailer, but there are rumors that it could release online next Friday.

After meeting with newly elected U.S. President Thaddeus Ross, played by Harrison Ford in his Marvel Cinematic Universe debut, Sam finds himself in the middle of an international incident. He must discover the reason behind a nefarious global plot before the true mastermind has the entire world seeing red.

Captain America: Brave New World stars Anthony Mackie, Danny Ramirez, Shira Haas, Xosha Roquemore, Carl Lumbly, with Giancarlo Esposito, Liv Tyler, Tim Blake Nelson, and Harrison Ford. The film is directed by Julius Onah and produced by Kevin Feige and Nate Moore. Louis D’Esposito and Charles Newirth serve as executive producers.

"It made more sense for it to be more of a grounded espionage action movie as opposed to aliens and airplanes coming through portals and sh*t," Mackie said in a recent interview. "Even though I've been in so many of them and have seen it all now, the opportunity for Sam to really establish himself as a true action star and Avenger comes with this movie."

"This movie is a clear reset," he added. "It really re-establishes the idea of what this universe is and what this universe is going to be. I think with these movies, you're getting a clear, new branding of what Marvel is headed towards the same way they did with Captain America: The Winter Soldier."

Marvel Studios’ Captain America: Brave New World opens in U.S. theaters on February 14, 2025.

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56 Comments

1 2

TheRationalNerd - 1/10/2025, 3:29 PM

Decent enough for me. Just ready to see quality marvel films again. Hopefully everyone gives it a shot. Would be beautiful to see Old Man Steve in a cameo or end credits scene.

KennKathleen - 1/10/2025, 4:35 PM

@TheRationalNerd -

MarvelZombie616 - 1/10/2025, 3:29 PM

Cap 4 will open below $100 domestic, guaranteed.

That being said Box Office theory is way off most of the time.

AllsGood - 1/10/2025, 5:36 PM

@MarvelZombie616 - Captain America Winter Solder Domestic opened with $95,023,721.

Plus, Captain America: Brave New World these are Early Tracking still over month out. More trailers are coming and still waiting for Rotten Tomatoes Critics to post their reviews.

Captain America: The Winter Soldier

Domestic = $259,766,572

International = $454,654,931

Worldwide = $714,421,503

Feralwookiee - 1/10/2025, 5:37 PM

@MarvelZombie616 - This. ^
Also, remember this movie supposedly has a budget of $375 million +.
There's no way this is turning a profit.

TheLobster - 1/10/2025, 6:11 PM

@AllsGood - you do realize this needs to make over 850mil just to break even right? That’s being conservative too and you’re not even factoring in inflation anyways lol

?si=mcjCGqCwdzBmppvB

BraveNewClunge - 1/10/2025, 3:38 PM

Hype is growing 🍆📈💦

bobevanz - 1/10/2025, 3:38 PM

100m domestic opening used to be a cakewalk, now it's a lowball estimate on purpose. Good luck

TheVisionary25 - 1/10/2025, 3:39 PM

Do we know the official budget for this?.

If we don’t then it seems hard to figure out how much it would exactly need to be a success so we’ll see.

Personally , I think it seems good hence I’m looking forward to it…

If it indeed is a movie that’s positively received then I hope WOM can help it but we still have little over a month & such left so hope it turns out for the best , fingers crossed!!.

Apophis71 - 1/10/2025, 3:45 PM

@TheVisionary25 - Do we EVER have official budget numbers and can we ever trust them even when we do, seen estimates but I never trust those regardless if they sound high or low.

TheVisionary25 - 1/10/2025, 3:51 PM

@Apophis71 - that’s true I guess

I know they have been some overplayed budget rumors going on but I feel like that happens with many of these movies now so idk.

WhatIfRickJames - 1/10/2025, 3:39 PM

I'll go and see it in the theater because I'm kind of a completist. I feel like I'm going to have the same experience that I did when I saw Quantummania. I'm not expecting this to have nearly of an impact as when I saw the Winter Soldier. I was so hyper after seeing that.

AnEye - 1/10/2025, 3:40 PM

Opening below Winter Soldier's opening numbers is pretty bad. However if it hits over $95 million then that would be alright.

Not counting Civil War, because lots of other factors carried the movie's box office.

BruceWayng - 1/10/2025, 3:44 PM

We all know what this one’s gonna do…

harryba11zack - 1/10/2025, 3:55 PM

@BruceWayng -

ProfessorWhy - 1/10/2025, 3:45 PM

Success will be determined by reviews on this one

TheFinestSmack - 1/10/2025, 3:46 PM

And from now until release, those estimates will shrink every week until it opens to less than $50 million.

mountainman - 1/10/2025, 4:33 PM

@TheFinestSmack - If this opens to $50 million, it’ll be a financial disaster on the level of Indy 5.

KwisatzHaderach - 1/10/2025, 3:49 PM

This one’s going to struggle

CreateNowSlpL8r - 1/10/2025, 3:51 PM

"the opportunity for Sam to really establish himself as a true action star and Avenger comes with this movie."

He was already an established Avenger until they screwed with him. The problem with Sam is his motivations and goals are unclear. The FAWS writing didn't help him in this regard because they injected identity politics in it but never actually created a problem Sam historically faced because of it. It never makes it clear why he objects to the serum either which puts him in a suit as a plot device.

I have a feeling, since this movie was reshoot a number of times its going to be a bunch of this happens, then this happens etc. Post Endgame Sam has been written poorly, he doesn't have clear goals, conflict or flaws. This is why his big moment in FAWS is a lecture. Thats the way the writers see him. He is morally right because of identity even though his experience in the MCU is anything but that. He IS a proper Avenger. He's helped saved the universe. Instead of building on that, we have to have a scene that he can't get a loan. This movie is the same people that did the series. No wonder they had to reshoot it a bunch of times. They are shit storytellers who wanted you to side with the flagsmashers.

KennKathleen - 1/10/2025, 4:39 PM

@CreateNowSlpL8r -

Izaizaiza - 1/10/2025, 5:29 PM

@CreateNowSlpL8r - couldn't identity politics be part of his motivation? Given the introduction of Isaiah Bradley, it seems like identity politics could be a very real motivation in him wanting to assume the mantle of Captain America, and do a damn good job at it.

harryba11zack - 1/10/2025, 3:54 PM

whale now if it's tracking to make money then i'm definitely gonna watch it now, the negative reception from trailers mean nothing to me, its the tracking that sells me a ticket. this movie is gonna be great now.

SATW42 - 1/10/2025, 3:58 PM

Comparing it to deadpool and Wolverine is kind of wild, I don't think anyone expects it to do those kinds of numbers.

I think this movie will do fine. I also don't care what it does as long as I enjoy it.

TheVisionary25 - 1/10/2025, 4:01 PM

@SATW42 - I know right?.

Deadpool & Wolverine had other factors for its success such as already being an established franchise with the same lead ( unlike Brave new World) aswell as Nostalgia & love for Jackman’s Wolverine amongst others.

However I do care how well it does though since it will further allow them to make more movies & such aswell as do more hopefully with Sam Cap.

TheNewYorker - 1/10/2025, 4:33 PM

This will be a better movie than wolverine and Deadpool. But it definitely won’t make anywhere near that type of money.
If this opens with 40 million I’ll be surprised

MCUKnight11 - 1/10/2025, 4:04 PM

Around the same as TWS would be the best case scenario. Could go either way.

TheVisionary25 - 1/10/2025, 4:05 PM

One bright spot I do think there is for this film is lack of big competition…

Unless another movie really gets good WOM and this doesn’t , I can see it having a nice run until maybe Snow White which comes out late March.

Spike101 - 1/10/2025, 4:16 PM

Going down faster than the Titanic I’m afraid, it’s the Captain America movie nobody wants because Steve Rogers isn’t in it. If it had been a Falcon movie it would have done ok, maybe really well. The problem is hardcore Cap fanboys find want it and the more casual Marvel movie goer won’t understand why the Falcon’s now Captain America.

Hoot3 - 1/10/2025, 4:54 PM

@Spike101 - Why won't casuals understand why he is Captain America? Steve gave him the shield at the end of one of the biggest and most viewed movies ever made, pretty easy to connect those dots.

HashTagSwagg - 1/10/2025, 4:18 PM

Anthony Mackie when he's see's the actual numbers for this film

marvel72 - 1/10/2025, 4:58 PM

@HashTagSwagg - Can someone check on AllIsGood.

MyCoolYoung - 1/10/2025, 4:20 PM

Relatively low for one of the most anticipated movies but I foresee them making money. I don’t know what else is coming out around that time but I doubt this will have much competition

TheVisionary25 - 1/10/2025, 4:24 PM

@MyCoolYoung - sadly I don’t think those lists have much if any bearing on the actual performance of a film…

You could anticipated it but still wait to watch it at home rather then theatres.

mountainman - 1/10/2025, 4:34 PM

@MyCoolYoung - Paddington in Peru is some big competition.

JayLemle - 1/10/2025, 5:14 PM

@MyCoolYoung - I don't think there will be much competition. Heart Eyes is the only movie I know of that drops around the same time. We know Heart Eyes won't smoke the competition (Cap 4).

TheVisionary25 - 1/10/2025, 5:15 PM

@JayLemle - I did look into it more and Paddington in Peru comes out the same day so that may cause some problems.

marvel72 - 1/10/2025, 4:43 PM

Nearly $400 Million budget,needs $800 Million to break even.

HistoryofMatt - 1/10/2025, 5:09 PM

@marvel72 - Actually, it's more than that. Yes, the studio only takes in about half of the ticket receipts, but you're not accounting for the marketing which is usually about a third up to half of the budget added onto it again.

So this movie needs to make at least A BILLION DOLLARS, if not $1.2B, just to break even.

CAPTAIN AMERICA: BRAVE NEW WORLD Tracking Towards $81M - $107M Box Office Debut; Update On New Trailer

Early box office tracking for Captain America: Brave New World is online, and the next Marvel Studios movie is expected to take in between $81M - $107M domestically when it hits theaters next month...

New CAPTAIN AMERICA: BRAVE NEW WORLD And THUNDERBOLTS* Stills Showcase Some Of The MCU's New Avengers

CAPTAIN AMERICA: BRAVE NEW WORLD Concept Art Reveals A Closer Look At Sam Wilson's New MCU Costume

DISCLAIMER: As a user generated site and platform, ComicBookMovie.com is protected under the DMCA (Digital Millenium Copyright Act) and "Safe Harbor" provisions.