SUPERMAN Now Eyeing A $640-$700 Million Global Finish After Second Weekend Of Release

SUPERMAN Now Eyeing A $640-$700 Million Global Finish After Second Weekend Of Release

Buoyed by a stellar A- CinemaScore and positive word-of-mouth and critic reviews, James Gunn's Superman is now projected for a mid-$600 to $700 million global finish.

By MarkJulian - Jul 21, 2025 11:07 AM EST
Filed Under: Superman

James Gunn's Superman is off to a flying start at the box office, earning over $406 million globally within its first two weeks. Although its $125 million domestic opening came in on the lower end of early projections, strong word-of-mouth and positive reviews have given the film impressive momentum.

With a solid $57.3 million haul in its second weekend, the DCU’s first official entry is holding steady and appears well on track to turn a healthy profit. The film’s performance is shaping up to be a promising launchpad for James Gunn’s new vision for the DC Universe.

Diving into the numbers further, calculating a film’s break-even point, a common industry rule is that it needs to earn roughly twice its combined production and marketing budget at the box office.

This is due to the fact that studios generally keep only about 50% of box office revenue, with the other half going to theater chains. As a result, hitting that two-times benchmark is often essential for a film to turn a profit.

While James Gunn stated that Warner Bros. would be happy with just a $500 million global finish, traditional box office math states that with a $225 million production budget and $100 million marketing budget, its traditional break-even point would be $650 million.

Thankfully, the film now appears to be headed for the above target number, according to several leading box office analysts.


Diving into the numbers even further, let's look at some recent tentpoles that have finished roughly close to where Superman is projected to finish and see how they fared after weekend #2. 

By examining how those titles performed by the end of their second weekend, we can get a better sense of how Superman stacks up and where it might ultimately land in its theatrical run:

To shape the Superman box office debate with some useful context,  is tracking ahead of titles like Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse and Dune: Part Two, but currently trailing behind major hits such as Wicked, The Batman, and Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3. 

Superman is currently showing a 57% domestic and 43% international box office split. However, industry analysts anticipate that the final numbers will lean even more heavily toward domestic earnings, roughly a 60/40 split by the time the film ends its theatrical run.

Conversely, the two films it is currently outgrossing, Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse and Dune: Part Two, have a respective 55/45 and 40/60 domestic/international box office split. 

It's Superman's lower international performance that has analysts predicting a lower global tally for the film than what Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse and Dune: Part Two amassed, despite the fact that Superman is currently outperforming both films at the same juncture.

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AllsGood
AllsGood - 7/21/2025, 11:18 AM
SUPERMAN Now Eyeing A $640-$700 Million Global Finish After Second Weekend of Release

User Comment Image
Lisa89
Lisa89 - 7/21/2025, 11:27 AM
@AllsGood - Calling it now! Final total: $$670,145,518.
SpiderParker
SpiderParker - 7/21/2025, 11:19 AM
You will be missed @Forthas.

User Comment Image
vectorsigma
vectorsigma - 7/21/2025, 11:22 AM
@SpiderParker - ill send flowers 😭
TheJok3r
TheJok3r - 7/21/2025, 11:28 AM
@SpiderParker - This movie would need to make an additional $260 million to reach Man of Steel; that's just not happening at all. I don't even know how likely it is to even hit the $600 million mark at this stage. Between the lack of international support and Fantastic 4 cutting into its domestic gains next week, there's just not much more it can do to reach that.
Mongrol
Mongrol - 7/21/2025, 11:35 AM
@SpiderParker -

Forthas will be investing his future time in A.I. so he can finally see the Cavill and Bale bromance he has always wanted.

28ClungesLater
28ClungesLater - 7/21/2025, 11:35 AM
@SpiderParker - what happens if @Forthas ends up being right, Do you have to leave?
kylo0607
kylo0607 - 7/21/2025, 11:37 AM
@SpiderParker - Good riddance.

If he doesn't leave, he for sure will be joining my block list lol.
soberchimera
soberchimera - 7/21/2025, 11:38 AM
@SpiderParker - It needs to make over 900 million to beat Man of Steel's box office adjusted for inflation. Even if you also adjust Man of Steel's budget, it's about the same as Superman 2025's.
bobevanz
bobevanz - 7/21/2025, 11:43 AM
@28ClungesLater - it's cute sticking up for your friends lmao
SpiderParker
SpiderParker - 7/21/2025, 11:56 AM
@28ClungesLater - He got a losing bet so not exactly. Tough luck, huh.

@soberchimera - As I mentioned, no excuses like inflation, etc. This movie has the same budget as MOS and less marketing costs than MOS (both without inflation), so if you add up inflation on total budget, that's not gonna help in anyway. So, keeping the numbers as is will give a fair comparison and in fact better for him as the inflation on higher marketing costs will affect MOS much more.
28ClungesLater
28ClungesLater - 7/21/2025, 11:58 AM
@SpiderParker - not really, you're not important enough for me to want you to leave 🤣 i just wondered if it was something you be prepared to do if you lost 👀
RegularPoochie
RegularPoochie - 7/21/2025, 12:00 PM
@SpiderParker - User Comment Image
28ClungesLater
28ClungesLater - 7/21/2025, 12:02 PM
@bobevanz - lol 😘 its cute you backing up your circle jerk buddy 🤡
Forthas
Forthas - 7/21/2025, 12:04 PM
@28ClungesLater - YES HE DOES!!!!!
RegularPoochie
RegularPoochie - 7/21/2025, 12:20 PM
@Forthas - User Comment Image
User Comment Image
soberchimera
soberchimera - 7/21/2025, 12:21 PM
@SpiderParker - Inflation isn’t an excuse, it’s a cold, hard fact of life, you can’t compare one movie dollar to dollar with a film that came out 12 years ago, any economist worth his salt would laugh you out of the building for trying.
RegularPoochie
RegularPoochie - 7/21/2025, 12:24 PM
@Forthas - but for real, I'll leave with you. You're one of the good guys
ComicBandit
ComicBandit - 7/21/2025, 12:25 PM
@soberchimera - When you adjusted Man of Steel's box office take for inflation, did you also adjust for the inflation in its budget and advertising?
DarthMauve
DarthMauve - 7/21/2025, 12:28 PM
@soberchimera - Worth noting Man of Steel made $170m before a single ticket was sold through product placement.
soberchimera
soberchimera - 7/21/2025, 12:39 PM
@ComicBandit - Yes, if you adjust the 225 million production budget to 2025 dollars, it was 312 million. There was a $150 million marketing budget, but product placements and partnerships netted $160 million in additional revenue that cancels the marketing budget out. The 670 million adjusted to 2025 dollars nets to 928 million which gives Man of Steel a profit of $616 million in today’s dollars.
SpiderParker
SpiderParker - 7/21/2025, 12:39 PM
@soberchimera - There are more than 10 other things that goes when comparing two things but I'm sure you are not bothered by them one bit. When the production budget is exactly the same for both movies while marketing cost is less for the newer one, how could you even suggest that inflation would give a better picture?

I'm sure people who do this for a living would be laughing at you for taking one thing into consideration while leaving a bunch of others in a sandbox in order to cope. :)
SpiderParker
SpiderParker - 7/21/2025, 12:43 PM
@soberchimera - Product placements and partnership is not exclusive to a particular movie. So, if you are comparing it for one movie, I hope you have legitimate and absolute data for the other one too. You can't just introduce something for a movie as a justification while you have no idea how the same thing applies for the other one.
Forthas
Forthas - 7/21/2025, 12:53 PM
@RegularPoochie - Thanks my man! Very much appreciate that!!!!
soberchimera
soberchimera - 7/21/2025, 12:54 PM
@SpiderParker - I’m not the one who brought up marketing costs, I just wanted to keep it to production budget. Going by just their production budgets then. Superman cost 225 million, it would need $841 million to earn the same profit Man of Steel did.
SpiderParker
SpiderParker - 7/21/2025, 1:38 PM
@soberchimera - Nope, you introduced inflation. You can't introduce something while keeping others in a sandbox. The box office is $670 million and by adding any other element, you have to include all element for which neither you nor I have complete and absolute data. So be civil and keep it at the box office without complicating things only to suit your cause.

Keeping the marketing costs away, both movie have the same budget so if both movie end up making $670 million, the budget to profit ratio would be exactly the same. How much that amount is valued in 2025 is unnecessary. There are other factors, its useless to try and take every known and unknown factor in when things can be simple. So, close that Pandora's box already.

Also, final nail in the coffin - I clearly pointed out "outperforms MOS's $670 million", the number is stated right there.
soberchimera
soberchimera - 7/21/2025, 2:33 PM
@SpiderParker - Yes, I introduced inflation, not marketing costs.
How much that amount is valued in 2025 is unnecessary.
Only if you have a bias against Man of Steel, which you clearly do. Don't pretend that you actually care about facts and figures at this point.
SpiderParker
SpiderParker - 7/21/2025, 2:48 PM
@soberchimera - Fact is Man of Steel under-performed during the movie and CBM high. Fact is inflation also applies to marketing costs. Fact is you can't see your own bias. Fact is you will twist whatever as long as it fits your narrative.
soberchimera
soberchimera - 7/21/2025, 3:26 PM
@SpiderParker - You’re the one trying to get everyone to ignore inflation which is like comparing the record for the 100-yard dash to the record for the 3-yard dash. And I didn’t ignore marketing costs, I literally said they were offset by product placements and partnerships in an earlier comment. Gaslight and move the goalposts as much as you need to bud.
SpiderParker
SpiderParker - 7/21/2025, 4:13 PM
@soberchimera - And I told you budget to profit ratio will stay the same even if you cancel out the product placement and marketing costs for both movies and product placement and partnerships could even be higher for the current movie since in 12 years a lot has changed and developed, probably higher theaters and other partnerships, etc.

Plus there is streaming partnerships that didn't exist back then. So, don't you think if you open that Pandora's box, you are on the losing side? But again, you will be the one who will move the goalposts and gaslight that I did it. Bravo.

You are introducing new elements to move goalposts when I'm asking to keep it simple but apparently that makes me the one to move goalposts cause I gave you a reality check by giving you counter. Great job.
Steel86
Steel86 - 7/21/2025, 11:21 AM
As a Superman fan I'm happy to see this. As I've seen it with multiple different friends and read alot of comments I'll say this. It seems to be divided into 3 categories. Superman movie fan, Superman comic fan and Superman Synder fan. Almost every Synder fan has hated it, Superman movie fans are about even 50/50 and comic fans seem to almost all love or really really like it.
DocSpock
DocSpock - 7/21/2025, 11:21 AM

If the chinese govt. wasn't hosing it, this movie would probably hit a billion.

jasonvoorhees
jasonvoorhees - 7/21/2025, 11:28 AM
@DocSpock - Nope. Chinese people doesn't like Superhero movies, with goofy humour. GotG 1-3, wasn't popular ever there. And The Suicide Squad, doesn't even made it to the theatres.
ComicBandit
ComicBandit - 7/21/2025, 12:29 PM
@jasonvoorhees - They are hosing this and have done the same to many foreign movies. The regulations alone to be able show in China during the summer is crazy and many films are not allowed in favor of locally made movies. Which makes sense for them.
theFUZZ008
theFUZZ008 - 7/21/2025, 11:23 AM
How did this movie do in Boravia?
EskimoJ
EskimoJ - 7/21/2025, 11:55 AM
@theFUZZ008 - Better than in Jarhanpur.
JoeInTheBox
JoeInTheBox - 7/21/2025, 1:03 PM
@EskimoJ @theFUZZ008 - You both know Boravia would be pirating the movie on torrents while Jarhanpur would be ripping the pirate print onto discs to sell on the streets.
TheJok3r
TheJok3r - 7/21/2025, 11:25 AM
I really hope this is the case, but I honestly don't see how it can reach that with its abysmal international numbers, especially now that Fantastic 4 is opening. I'm still optimistic that it can hit the $600 million mark, but I think it will just barely reach it.
MarkJulian
MarkJulian - 7/21/2025, 11:28 AM
@TheJok3r - I think Fantastic Four is headed for another Thunderbolts-type box office return. It won't be profitable despite glowing reviews.
TheJok3r
TheJok3r - 7/21/2025, 11:30 AM
@MarkJulian - Fantastic 4 has the benefit of coming off a very beloved Superman movie. They may not be from the same company, but when people enjoy their time at one movie, they're likely to be more motivated to go to the next.
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