As we move steady into 2017, it seems as last year it was a big and crucial year for Disney as they released a phletora of movies, however given the circumstances of this year, will Disney pull it off? Blockbuster have become more and more apparent year round as the years go by, summer is sufficatingly packed which leaves little room for small films or films of any magnitude. Hope on in, enjoy why I don't and somehow DO care about this year in 2017. ENJOY!
FEBRUARY 2017
Seems like February 2017 will have a jammed month with 6 films being released expected to make a good amount of money. However I see more likely that Lego Batman will be the top contender of the month, with John Wick Chapter 2 & Fifty Shades Darker
1. The Lego Batman Movie- OW: $130 Million US: $260-$320 Millon WW: $400 Million LTG: $660-720 RT: 75%
2. Fifty Shades Darker- OW: $32 Million US: $70 Million WW: $185 Million LTG: $255 Million RT: 48%
3. John Wick Chapter 2- OW: $40 Million US:$78 Million WW: $75 Million LTG: $153 Million RT: 70%
Between Rings, A Cure for Wellness & The Great Wall, I do not expect a big draw from either of them, but if I had to pick runner up for third place it would have to be Rings based on nostalgia of the first two films and the fact that it is a horror film aimed at a newer generation hence the young actors/actresses in the lead role. I expect it making it upward to $70 Million overall to make it a commercial success but it won't bring a big crowd. The other two are flops.
MARCH 2017
1. Beauty & The Beast- OW: $140 Million US: $293 Million WW: $474 Million LTG: $767 Million RT: 72%
2. Logan- OW: $100 Million US: $168 Million WW: $235 Million LTG: $403 Million RT: 67%
3. Power Rangers- OW: $55 Million US: $124 Million WW: $278 Million LTG: $402 Million RT: 42%
4. Kong: Skull Island- OW: 52 Million US: $104 Million WW: $230 Million LTG: $334 Million RT: 68%
I know many of you are probably scratching heads at these predictions, but unfortunately the month is incredibly over-crowded by a lot of heavily marketed films. While I know many are saying not Power Rangers, I do see it coming out a healthy box office despite the lack of marketing, mainly due to nostalgia which seems to be a heavy factor in movies in hopes to draw that crowd out. I do not think Beauty & the Beast will be a 1 billion dollar movie, however it will become a smash hit which is what it certainly needs. As for big flops I see Belko Experiment, CHiPS, & Life all suffering a big loss because of this, however if I had to really pick a fifth contender for the month, CHiPS seems more than likely due to the fact that it is a comedy based on an old TV show (DON'T FORGET NOSTALGIA!!!) However I meantion 9, where are the other two films you asked?
APRIL 2017
1. The Fate of The Furious- OW: $150 Million US: $324 Million WW: 820 Million LTG: 1.14 Billion RT: 73%
2. The Boss Baby- OW: $48 Million US: 157 Million WW: 230 Million LTG: $387 Million RT: 70%
3. The Smurfs Lost Village OW: $44 Million US: 94 Million WW: 180 Million LTG: $274 Million RT: 50%
As for films like Ghost in the Shell & Colossal, it doesn't seem like they will turn out heavily. However Colossal might be a sleeper hit and still be a success due to its unusual and intriguing premise that is likely to draw a crowd that seems to want a break from blockbusters. As for Ghost in the Shell I see it as a gigantic flop for ScarJo & the studio behind the film as it doesn't look entirely intriguing enough to draw a crowd as much as a kids film nor will it stop Vin Diesel. However a possible chance it could see a big worldwide box office which to me is fourth and Colossal fifth respectifully.
MAY 2017
1. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2- OW: $180 Million US: $402 Million WW: $620 Million LTG: $1.2 Billion Dollars RT: 83%
2. Pirates of the Carribean 5- OW: $132 Million US: $234 Million WW: $685 Million LTG: $919 Million RT: 65%
3. Alien Covenant- OW: $72 Million US: $190 Million WW: $425 Million LTG: $615 Million RT: 57%
It seems like a pretty good month for audiences, however I still believe Guardians will be the overall contender despite the other big releases. However for the last two, I see Baywatch as a fourth possibility due to it being a comedy, it stars the Rock as well as Zac Efron and as well as gorgeous women. It seems to be a big success, just not the numbers up top. However for King Arthur, I do think it will be a good film, just audiences won't react it to it well. They will be awaiting for other releases while they watch King Arthur in hopes that it may or may not be a good film. It needs to have a strong opening of $50-$70 million to have maybe a sequel considered, but even that may still spell flop for King Arthur.
JUNE 2017
3. Wonder Woman- OW: $112 Million US: $245 Million WW: $267 Million LTG: $512 Million RT: 65%
As much as everyone wants the DCEU to prevail or hell even start over, the numbers I predicted for Wonder Woman are more than solid for a superhero female lead action film, however I do see it not making much here but it will have an impact. As for our other two, The Mummy doesn't seem yet to be a flop but it looks like the main draw will be with the worldwide box office. It could see a strong $40-$60 million opening weekend, but as for domestic total, it won't be all that much. I do see Captain Underpants being a big flop, simply noting that no kid nowadays reads Captain Underpants, it was a product of its time that has far exceeded the wait for such a movie. I don't know about that one, but I just don't see it going fairly well against Wonder Woman.
JULY 2017
1. Despicable Me 3- OW: $124 Million US: $409 Million WW: $634 Million LTG: $1.043 Billion RT: 78%
2. Spider-Man Homecoming- OW: $115 Million US: $285 Million WW: $478 Million LTG: $763 Million RT: 72%
3. War of the Planet of the Apes- OW: $102 Million US: $282 Million WW: $456 Million LTG: $738 Million RT: 86%
I know many of you are thinking, my numbers suck for Spider-Man, but I honestly predicted it to be much lower. Homecoming while again proves honestly nothing but to just go ahead and turn back to where Spider-Man started....again for the third time. It doesn't help that it is aimed towards more young adults aged 15-24, however I am sure the adults will strive to go see it, just not as it use to with Tobey's Spider-Man which drew in everyone. I do feel the webslinger has a chance, but not a big one where it can take leaps of faith to upwards of $800 million. Still, it is a decent box office count for the film that has managed to reboot the franchise twice in less than a decade so that counts. As for Dunkirk, I do see it being a great film, however in a year filled with swashbuckling, superhero, and animated comedies, I just don't see it making a healthy profit. As for The Dark Tower, it seems like a big flop to me, while introducing very little and having this apparent supernatural esque edge to akin to Hellboy & Blade, it seems like its 15 years too late for that type of film. Maybe in 2003 or 2004 it could of worked.
While I would like to do August-September, it doesn't seem likely to have a big release. It is no doubt two quiet months that people don't have to go out of their way to see the movies. So whatever, let's move on to October.
OCTOBER 2017
1. Blade Runner 2049: OW: $71 Million US: $204 Million WW: $324 Million LTG: $528 Million RT: 79%
2. Saw: Legacy OW: $46 Million US: $68 Million WW: $65 Million LTG: $133 Million RT: 28%
3. Kingsman 2: The Golden Circle OW: $40 Million US: $110 Million WW: $330 Million LTG: $440 Million RT: 85%
So I just don't see Insidious nor My Little Pony making a healthy turn out at all, however Insidious Chapter 4 seems more than likely to be a success due to the fact that the film is a small budget with an always success of three or four times their intial budget. My Little Pony will struggle against Kingsman & Blade Runner who strive for number one. Not saying My Little Pony is dead on arrival, but it just seems like a flop for sure.
NOVEMBER 2017
1. Justice League- OW: $170 Million US: $345 Million WW: $564 Million LTG: $909 Million RT: 35-60%
2. Thor: Ragnarok- OW: $145 Million US $284 Million WW: $472 Million LTG: $756 Million RT: 71%
3. Paddington 2- OW: $30 Million US: $84 Million WW: $240 Million LTG: $324 Million RT: 55%-70%
While I do see CoCo taking the number three spot in the coming months, I don't see it right now since Paddington is popular and the first film proved it so to be. Though again, a Pixar film is surely to take the number three spot in the coming months, so its just cautionary. I do see Thor being the better film, but the hype around Justice League could grow in months, not to mention being released two weeks after Thor Ragnarok.
DECEMBER 2017
1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi- OW: $260 Million US: $840 Million WW 1.4 Billion LTG: 2.240 Billion RT: 84%
2. Jumanji OW: $67 Million US: $256 Million WW: $425 Million LTG: $681 Million RT: 48%
3. Pitch Pefect 3 OW: $38 Million US: $162 Million WW: $198 Million LTG: $360 Million RT: 54%
2017 Top 10 Box Office
1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi- $2.240 Billion
2. The Fate of the Furious- $1.14 Billion
3. Despicable Me 3- $1.043 Billion
4. Transformers The Last Knight- $1.4 Billion
5. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2- $1.2 Billion
6. Pirates of the Carribean Dead Men Tell No Tales- $919 Million
7. Justice League- $909 Million
8. Cars 3- $784 Million
9. Beauty & The Beast- $767 Million
10. Spider-Man Homecoming- $763 Million
Thank you all for reading, again these are all predictions, they could be entirely wrong, some wrong, some right or entirely right. These are based on the influx of movies we have for 2017, not to mention the box office on how it will affect it as well as ticket prices rising. Overall I hope you all enjoyed it.