SPOILER WARNING
Sources for interviews and the trailer are at the end of the article.
We have all watched that fantastic trailer again and again and again, don't deny it.[1]
But what can we speculate on the plot?
These are the things we know for sure. [2]
- Steve & Sam are looking for Bucky.
- An international incident involving the Avengers causes teh government to step in.
- Zemo is pulling the strings.
- The Avengers go at each other.
Now, bear with me, "Zemo is pulling the strings"? How does that play out? Well as we know Thunderbolt Ross is back, as a new character with different objectives and personality, as the actor has stated: " He’s cornering the Avengers politically now, he’s out-maneuvering them."
But why? Because of the Hulk incident? Or is Zemo giving him a window of opportunity to step in and take care of the Avengers while they work on their master plan, sacrificing Cross Bones in the process? Zemo planning a new world order like Hydra? [3]
Also, why are they on an airport? Is Bucky planning to leave the country? How did the avengers find each other and fight? Why is Spider-Man involved? [4][5]
Here's my take:
- Movie kicks off with Peggy Carter's funeral, all of the Avengers are there minus Iron Man, they are called for duty afterwards.
- Turns out Bucky's location has been compromised, he's been hiding in an african IFID facility and Cross Bones wants to kill him so no threats to Hydra are present.
- Cap goes there with Falcon and decide to help him escape, notice the death security guards on the ground? That was X bones's goons.
- Bucky goes into hiding.
- X bones has been spotted near an african market, near Wakanda, he's using this as a trap.
- They turn crossbones in, and in his trial he blows up with a suicide vest, hence 'Hail Hydra', this gives a window for opportunity for Ross to step in and make the avengers fight each other.
- Notice the red streaks on his hair? He has tested the super hero serum on himself with side effects, failure, and he needs a time window so he can become Red Hulk to aid Zemo in the new world order.
- Bucky is still in hiding, Cap needs to help him, but with the accords problem Cap manages to escape capture. (Footage not shown, Captain is seen on the run and Iron Man finds him)
- Ross decides to call in Iron Man to capture Captain, they fight in the process, Cap escapes (Footage not shown)
- Cap goes into hiding with the Avengers, Tony decides to use double agent Black Widow to capture them.
- They find Bucky in Germany, hence the 'grey t shirt' Cap wears with the jacket and in the warehouse, they plan on taking him out of the country, but don't know where to, they help Bucky escape from Hydra wanting to kill Bucky, hence Cap holding that helicopter that has a machine gun, and takes it down, somehow Falcon takes down the other heli shooting at Cap.
- They get Bucky onto an airport, but guess who finds them? Guess who saw that near his country there was a violent mass death count? Hence blaming Bucky for being Hydra, winter soldier, not knowing he's not that anymore, and Hydra being responsible for the explosion.
- Cap escapes.
- Tony convinces Panther of joining in, and Spidey too, considering that Bucky MAY have assassinated his parents, who were probably SHIELD agents, we don't know for sure.
- Bucky BARELY escapes, and they have no way of getting Bucky out of the country on public transport, they need private transport but don't know where, they need help to get him out.
- Black Widow steps in to help in a private plane in a private airport, she says that she doesn't believe in Tony's accords anymore and wants to leave the country with the avengers, says she knows a place.
- With a plan to avoid more Panther issues, hence recruiting Ant Man for some sneaking in the airport, they were about to leave with Bucky on the plane:
- Turns out Black Widow was a double agent, this was a plan to CAPTURE them and BUCKY without airport CASUALTIES.
- Rhodey may be a casualty, which will bring Tony to want to kill Bucky, also after his parents's death.
- Somehow they find a place for Bucky to stay in a private message from an anonymous source, they don't trust it after what happened, so they decide to go there before they get ambushed again, turns out it's Red Skull's old facility, where the other Avengers were called to too, they think they were called by each other and fight again.
- Before Bucky kills Tony (Remember he's not all there[6]) Cap says that this is not worth it, they make amendments and enter the facility to see who sent the message.
- It was Zemo, and Ross is there, who transforms into Red Hulk, turns out they were fooled all along, giving time for Ross to keep testing and plan on the new world order without the Avengers, the Avengers fight them and win, somehow with a casualty; Cap retires, the government is not the same after what Ross did, the Accords are no more, but no more core avengers. Bucky turns himself in. Cap goes to live a simple life with Agent 13.
I don't know if you agree on this analysis, what do you think?
Sources:
[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uVdV-lxRPFo
[2]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Captain_America:_Civil_War
[3]
http://www.cinemablend.com/new/Captain-America-3-Deadly-Event-Probably-Cause-Civil-War-76517.html
[4]
http://moviepilot.com/posts/3558385?lt_source=external,manual
[5]
http://www.enstarz.com/articles/48633/20141015/captain-america-3-movie-spoilers-iron-man-tries-to-kill-the-winter-soldier-due-to-having-a-part-in-killing-his-father-video.ht
[6]
http://www.slashfilm.com/the-russo-brothers-deliver-a-captain-america-civil-war-trailer-breakdownthe-russo-brothers-breakdown-the-captain-america-civil-war-trailer/