SUPERMAN Box Office Tracking Update Revealed As Analysts Predict Tough Battle With JURASSIC WORLD REBIRTH

SUPERMAN Box Office Tracking Update Revealed As Analysts Predict Tough Battle With JURASSIC WORLD REBIRTH

The latest box office tracking for Superman is in, and not much has changed since three weeks ago. As a result, the movie faces stiff competition from Jurassic World Rebirth after it overperformed...

By JoshWilding - Jul 08, 2025 12:07 PM EST
Filed Under: Superman
Source: The Wrap

Jurassic World Rebirth exceeded expectations at the global box office this past weekend with a $323 million haul. Similar to its predecessors, the movie benefited greatly from strong walk-up ticket sales, a surprise, seeing as reviews were mostly mixed, if not outright negative. 

According to The Wrap, "A still-strong performance by 'Jurassic World Rebirth' could chip into 'Superman' at a time when comic book films have been on a slump." The DC Studios reboot opens in theaters this weekend, though Amazon Prime preview screenings take place in the U.S. this evening.

While today's social media reactions and reviews will have an impact on Superman's opening weekend, the trade explains, "Tracking hasn't changed from the wide range first offered nearly three weeks ago, with NRG offering the most optimistic range at an opening of $125 million to $145 million."

You'll recall that the pessimistic range pegged Superman as having a $90 million opening, a figure that doesn't seem remotely likely given the positive buzz surrounding the movie

Analysts expect Superman to face tough competition from Jurassic World Rebirth, but plenty is going in the hero's favour as BoxOfficePro's Danie Loria explains. "'Jurassic' has established itself with moviegoers as reliable popcorn entertainment, and 'Superman' is a superhero film about the most recognisable superhero of all time. He's not Blue Beetle. He's not even Captain America."

"The one big advantage that 'Jurassic World' has is that people know what it is. It is more of what they've always gotten from this franchise," Loria continues. "The strong marketing for 'Superman' has given the public an idea of James Gunn’s take on the character, but we don't know yet if it is going to be more family-driven or fan-driven."

The trade expects reviews to be crucial for Superman. After analysing previous movies, the site concluded that, whatever happens, Jurassic World Rebirth is likely to perform stronger in Asia. The Man of Tomorrow, however, will have the edge in Europe and Latin America. In other words, it's going to be a close battle.

If The Fantastic Four: First Steps underperforms like Thunderbolts*, then Jurassic World Rebirth could "[beat] the odds" and reach $1 billion. Alternatively, it's still eyeing an impressive $800 million haul.

It's too soon to say where Superman will ultimately land. Still, if those reviews are as positive as the social media reactions, the latest Jurassic movie's $1 billion hopes are facing extinction. 

Superman arrives in theaters on July 11, 2025. Let us know your opening weekend predictions in the comments section below.

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SonOfAGif
SonOfAGif - 7/8/2025, 12:43 PM
I called this months ago. Jurassic World Rebirth will dominate July with or without negative word of mouth. Both Superman and Fantastic 4 will face box office issues due to Jurassic World holding strong.
AllsGood
AllsGood - 7/8/2025, 12:57 PM
@SonOfAGif - BUT with a Terrible Rotten Tomatoes Score and weak Audience Score 72 % will Jurassic World Rebirth have legs?

Jurassic World Rebirth I saw it was Good but not Great. One viewing for me.
RockReigns
RockReigns - 7/8/2025, 12:59 PM
@AllsGood - agreed. they said it had an “okay” drop from Sunday to Monday. Down 61%

Brace for down to earth impact.
AllsGood
AllsGood - 7/8/2025, 1:52 PM
@SonOfAGif - AND Jumping the Gun! Jurassic World Rebirth hasn't beaten ANYONE yet. Let's wait see after the other 2 movies are released.

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BreakTheCode
BreakTheCode - 7/8/2025, 12:44 PM
Another Superman article by Wilding that seems to have an agenda. No matter what the quality of the film is or how it does box office wise it’s obvious he doesn’t want this film to do well.
JoshWilding
JoshWilding - 7/8/2025, 12:50 PM
@BreakTheCode - JFC, I'm reporting news from The Wrap. I even write, "You'll recall that the pessimistic range pegged Superman as having a $90 million opening, a figure that doesn't seem remotely likely given the positive buzz surrounding the movie." Go outside and touch grass.
Malatrova15
Malatrova15 - 7/8/2025, 12:56 PM
@BreakTheCode - he has no agenda respect Wildick now
rockinsokinrobo
rockinsokinrobo - 7/8/2025, 1:01 PM
@JoshWilding - why u entertaining foolishness. Keep reporting and enjoying the day. Uunnnnnleessss it troll hunting; the. proceed to ur heart’s content
McMurdo
McMurdo - 7/8/2025, 1:01 PM
@JoshWilding - I'm shocked both Rocha and Grace Randolph loved the film. They've been ripping Gunn for months now. I feel like I live in some alternate universe right now.
JoshWilding
JoshWilding - 7/8/2025, 1:03 PM
@rockinsokinrobo - Haha, true - it's just very tiresome. Some of these DC fans are on another planet, I swear.
JoshWilding
JoshWilding - 7/8/2025, 1:04 PM
@McMurdo - Rocha is a huge surprise to me, as he hates Gunn, it seems. We're definitely getting a "Fresh" score for this one. I'm thinking mid-70s.
BreakTheCode
BreakTheCode - 7/8/2025, 1:06 PM
@JoshWilding - I’m not a DC only fan. I’m just as much a Marvel fan. The amount of negativity you’ve put towards this movie in not just this weeks or even months but YEARS leading up to it has been ridiculous. If you have a bias then let someone else report on it. Or does this site not believe in journalistic integrity?
McMurdo
McMurdo - 7/8/2025, 1:08 PM
@JoshWilding - ya he's been ripping Gunn daily going on 6 months lol. Liking it is one thing but he just says he unabashedly loved the damn thing.
BreakTheCode
BreakTheCode - 7/8/2025, 1:09 PM
@JoshWilding - A few token positives doesn’t drown out the overwhelming negative or maybe even rage baiting ones. Name calling is also very immature.
DrServo
DrServo - 7/8/2025, 1:19 PM
@BreakTheCode - He's always done this and will continue to. He hates DC and Gunn and will do all he can to rank this film before it even comes out.
vectorsigma
vectorsigma - 7/8/2025, 1:20 PM
@BreakTheCode - just want to reply and say i was blocked again by mr wilding for reasons i dony know. Lolz!

@THEKENDOMAN what did i say our resident snowflake cant take criticisms? lolz!
DrServo
DrServo - 7/8/2025, 1:26 PM
@JoshWilding - How about one of your lastest articles where you quote from an article about Heads of State where someone compared "Superman" (note they didn't mention the film in said article, only using the character as a placeholder to refer to the inherent silliness in all superhero films) to justify the silliness in that film? The author never once even mentioned the film, not once criticized the movie, and yet, you presented it as a genuine critique of the upcoming Gunn flick? You have an agenda, it's obvious. Just leave DC alone. You clearly hate them.
JoshWilding
JoshWilding - 7/8/2025, 1:38 PM
@DrServo - You're either deluded or being willfully ignorant. Variety wrote, "...would miss a movie that’s no sillier than 'Superman.'" You'll notice that they presented Superman as 'Superman,' which is what they do to they refer to the title of a movie, not a character (and if it was as a character, that sentence makes no sense). They then updated the piece when people on social media revealed they'd broken embargo. You can't be that dense.
THEKENDOMAN
THEKENDOMAN - 7/8/2025, 2:12 PM
@vectorsigma - I see you, mate.

I’m not here to kiss arse or play favourites, you know I [frick]ing speak my mind, whoever the [frick] it is. It’s all in the name of loving this comic book movie shit.

That said, things get bloody heated around here sometimes. Lines get crossed, egos get bruised, and someone’s gotta pull the [frick] back before it turns into a full-on meltdown.

I’ve seen your posts, matey, nothing [frick]ing nuts in my eyes. Probably just bad [frick]ing timing, as usual in this madhouse.

But I’ll tell you this, like I told Josh: don’t [frick]ing change for anyone. We’re all here for the same [frick]ing reason, the love of this nerdy, cape-wearing madness. If we stick to that, we’ll be alright. But yeah, not everything smells like [frick]ing roses. Some days it’s just flaming shit and popcorn.

And like I said to @Clintthahamster we all have a crying bitch in us. Some just let theirs out with more [frick]ing flair. 😉
DrServo
DrServo - 7/8/2025, 2:31 PM
@JoshWilding - You can't be dense enough to believe they were referring to the movie despite not referring to it as such in any other way through the entire article. They were using it as a placeholder. If you can't see that, I'm sorry, but a a writer/journalist you are not. You are stretching for this one and you know it. They changed it later probably because they realized what their use might have implied. You really just want this film to fail. It's obvious. Keep on posting the hack articles and shilling for Marvel, but don't attempt to make up stories based on nonsense.
Arthorious
Arthorious - 7/8/2025, 2:40 PM
@McMurdo - Randolph was a surprise for me. I thought she wasn’t on board with the trailers and such but looks like the movie won her over
Apophis71
Apophis71 - 7/8/2025, 2:45 PM
@JoshWilding - I mean 4 days ago Mark reported Box office projections of $130M-$170M and there was a prior one of upto $200M early June and this article states the most optimistic range at an opening of $125 million to $145 million so there is an oversight in this to not include at least the figures Cassidy posted here

https://comicbookmovie.com/superman/superman-unleashes-his-heat-vision-in-latest-teasers-for-james-gunns-dcu-reboot-a222603

So I can understand why it could seem to many that you may appear to be being more negative with more bad news related article and/or not including as many of the positive signs compared to say Mark Cassidy but I know the calling dibs bit creates issues in such regards.

If it was The Wrap that overlooked the higher figures not you, fair enough which would maybe explain the "Tracking hasn't changed from the wide range first offered nearly three weeks ago" which even you clearly acknowledge isn't true as seem to recall you saying tracking has been all over the show with this over the course of the last month or so and pointing to Mark's article yourself saying how you would have put a tracking related bit in the articles title.
SpiderParker
SpiderParker - 7/8/2025, 4:42 PM
@DrServo - "You could be forgiven for writing off “Heads of State.” But then, you would miss a movie that’s no sillier than “Superman” and a lot more entertaining (a comparison worth making, since both adhere to a mythical sense of heroism)."

It's very clear that both movies are being compared. Is there any point of creating a false narrative to support the movie? This is very cult-like. If anything, you can discuss how people are putting out negative spins on the movie accidentally (the actual people who put them, not the ones who reported on them) instead of changing facts. That specific reviewer from variety was purposefully critical of the movie.
AllsGood
AllsGood - 7/8/2025, 12:50 PM
My list :)

1) Marvel Studios: First Steps

2) Jurassic World Rebirth

3) Superman
Malatrova15
Malatrova15 - 7/8/2025, 12:57 PM
@AllsGood - you forgot IronHeart ..that shit was ICONIC!
AllsGood
AllsGood - 7/8/2025, 1:08 PM
@Malatrova15 - BREAKING NEWS! Marvel Studios Ironheart Rotten Tomatoes Score 87% Certified Fresh.

Now Marvel Studios is now talking Second and Third Season.

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Malatrova15
Malatrova15 - 7/8/2025, 1:18 PM
@AllsGood - WOW..Hope she graduates from shoplifting to rob a bank ..then she migth catch the atention of a full Avenger AND Get rekt
AllsGood
AllsGood - 7/8/2025, 1:28 PM
@Malatrova15 - I just Updated my list

1) Marvel Studios Fantastic Four: First Steps

2) Superman

3) Jurassic World Rebirth
Malatrova15
Malatrova15 - 7/8/2025, 1:56 PM
@AllsGood - where is Ironheart in that list%¿
BlackStar25
BlackStar25 - 7/8/2025, 2:52 PM
@AllsGood - I got

1) Jurassic World Rebirth - $800+ million

2) Superman - $700+ million

3) Marvel Studios Fantastic Four: First Steps - 600+ million

As for movie quality:

1) Marvel Studios: First Steps

2) Superman

3) Jurassic World Rebirth
dragon316
dragon316 - 7/8/2025, 3:05 PM
@AllsGood - avatar have score 90’s anyone like avatar series ?
AllsGood
AllsGood - 7/8/2025, 3:12 PM
@dragon316 - True BUT not Summer :)
AllsGood
AllsGood - 7/8/2025, 3:13 PM
@BlackStar25 - Means NOTHING to me all Hearsay
RockReigns
RockReigns - 7/8/2025, 12:57 PM
Superman has broken records in Brazil, grossing 3-times as much as GOTG3
AllsGood
AllsGood - 7/8/2025, 1:02 PM
@RockReigns - Great news if true can you share the link to back that up?
RockReigns
RockReigns - 7/8/2025, 1:03 PM
@AllsGood - @boxreport on Twitter
Malatrova15
Malatrova15 - 7/8/2025, 12:57 PM
Ok but Scarlet turns into a dinosaur in this one
RockReigns
RockReigns - 7/8/2025, 12:59 PM
I think Jurassic will have a bigger than normal drop this weekend but will have strong legs. Same with Superman.

Hard to say where First Steps will go.
McMurdo
McMurdo - 7/8/2025, 1:00 PM
Even John Rocha loved it?!?!?!?!?!!

?si=FHTrvtsZRWKADkRV

SHOCK HORROR LIGHTNING CRACKLE LIGHTNING CRACKLE!
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