POLL: Box Office Predictions for Watchmen

As good as I think this movie will be, I really don't think it's going to be breaking any records. Overall I expect it to be quite successful and will have a long run in the theaters but I think its success will definitely be over the long term rather than short term.

It only needs to top like 80 - 90 mil to break the R record I believe, my guess is 100 mil.

damn it!!! I can't make new articles!!!!!

Uwe Boll (the greatest comic book movie villain ever) has reached a new level of douchery, not only does he make awful films, he expects his "fans" to finance his new film.... now he is not just happy stealing the ticket money and DVD sales, he decided to go higher up.

Uwe Boll plans to steal more of your money

As for Watchmen, I think it will do 75 mill, just half of what the TDK did.

No more then 60 first weekend in my opinion.

As much as I would love to see some records broken, I just don't think it will happen. A lot of that is not due to the cult status of Watchmen, but because apparently the cinematography is a bit "off". From what I understand (and keep in mind this is from actual cinema critics, no comic fans), Snyder tried to remain so faithful to the comic, scene for scene, that the characters are often "cramped" into shots (not literally). There is no time to appreciate the sequences for the general movie-goer. I believe this is mostly due to good ole' fashioned time constraints.

I do, however, believe that the DVD release (which should fix most of these problems) will have record sales.

300 made 70 million. Watchmen will probably make slightly more than that.

broken_structure is right about 300. Way less advertising and no one knew what it was really about. It did LOOK different though and they used, "From the creator of Sin City" in the ads. That helped a bit.

300 had a HUGE buzz though and the story wasnt as complicated as Watchmen. (Plus, it was based off of something factual) 300 had "date movie" written all over it. Awesome violence for the guys and half naked, steroid using dudes in loin cloth undies and capes, for the girls.

I think Watchmen will get between 70 and 90 million maybe. 90 is pushing it though. Maybe.

pretty silly comparables list btw, since like only 1 or 2 other movies on that were rated R.

@ broken_structure ..

I heard of the Battle of the 300, LONG before the movie was even thought of, and probally even the comic book (which I never heard of untill the movie, I learned of the Battle in school in history class). How can something that acctually happened be less popular then a work of fiction. Remember, 300 had a huge fan base without the comics. With all the professors and history students that studied the battle. Not to mention an entire country that holds the story is high esteam. Our military has used it as an example of what few can do against many, in their training. So it had a giant following without even knowing. Seeing that of all my friends, only 1 knew of Watchmen before the trailor came out. In reverse, 80% of those same people had some knowledge of the 300 before the film was out. Just my personal experience. As for Watchmen being advertised so much. Ive found myself bored and even tired of seeing these commercials every other break.

Unfortunatly with all the advertising they have done, and the HUGE BUDGET. Watchmen will need to make GIANT money to acctually make money.

Ill guess 40 mill, then depending on word of mouth, we will see how well the film does. But it probally needs to make 500-600 mill, just the break even. So, yeah it better make more the 300 and V combined. Remember, 300 made more money overseas then it did in America. I dont see this movie playing as well overseas.

As a comic book movie fan, I will wait to hear what word of mouth sounds like. This is not a HAVE to see for me, having never heard of it before goin to TDK. So if the word of mouth is bad, I will wait for DVD, and then I will just rent or borrow.

RE pierce: I think it will actually do better than 300 so I guess I'm saying it's going to be #1-3 of all time for R movies. Maybe not, maybe this movie will just be too smart to get the numbers in there, but we'll see.

I did predict the presidential election numbers three months out within 1 percent though.

I'm going to get specific and put my number at 95 million dollars. let the results damn or exalt me.

@ xaosjerk

Thats a bold prediction. I dont think this film has the following that Jesus does. Remember, Passion of the Christ is the top rated R opener. I dont see the religious people coming out in full force to see this movie. That is how that film made so much. This film, has a following, but not that big.

The 3 hr run time is gonna kill this movie. Being that it is R, you cant have the highschool kids coming on their own, like they could have for TDK. You also have to pay for the prints, which for a 3 hr movie, is upwards of 60k per print, more for the IMAX prints. Im guessing they will release HUGE, almost 3000 screens, so do the math. Also, with all the ads they are running, its out of control. Those are not cheap to put together, or air. This might be the biggest gamble in a long time for WB. They are banking on the fanboys going to see this film 4-5 times. And hoping everyone else will at least give it one shot. It still might not be enough. Because of the movie within a movie, that DVD better be the best selling DVD of all time. Also, in this economy, alot of people just dont have the extra time or cash to go see movies.

Im going with 40 million. Which is respectable, but not what they need. With all the mixed reviews out there, that might scare people away. Even the good reviews Im seeing, are finding faults in something.

I could have told you, when he gave the speach at the Dem Convention in 04, that Barack was gonna win. That was not a big prediction, at all. It was pretty obvious. Especially once Palin showed up.

Watchmen has made over $25 million on the midnight showing and Friday sales. Saturday is typically the bigger day of the weekend for movie ticket sales so theoretically it could break $70 million for the weekend.