CAPTAIN AMERICA: BRAVE NEW WORLD Eyeing Global Opening Bigger Than THE MARVELS' Entire Box Office Run

CAPTAIN AMERICA: BRAVE NEW WORLD Eyeing Global Opening Bigger Than THE MARVELS' Entire Box Office Run

The latest box office projections are in for Captain America: Brave New World, and the next MCU movie is eying an opening weekend at the worldwide box office on par with what The Marvels made in total.

By JoshWilding - Feb 11, 2025 02:02 PM EST
Source: Variety

We're roughly 48 hours away from Captain America: Brave New World's Thursday preview screenings and the latest box office projections are now in.

According to Variety, Marvel Studios' first movie in 2025 will gross $80 million - $85 million over the three-day weekend and $90 million - $95 million through the President's Day holiday. At the international box office, a $110 million debut looks likely, meaning it should open with north of $200 million worldwide. 

When you consider that The Marvels made only $206.1 million during its entire theatrical run, you'd best believe Marvel Studios will be very happy with numbers like these. If the reviews are good, it could exceed expectations. 

Captain America: Brave New World doesn't have much in the way of competition in North America and, as a result, will easily land the biggest domestic debut of the year.

The movie's opening is above Eternals ($71 million) and Shang Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings ($75 million) but quite a bit behind Thor: Love and Thunder ($144 million), Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness ($187 million) and Black Panther: Wakanda Forever ($181 million).

Even after the success of Deadpool & Wolverine last summer, some moviegoers are clearly still wary of the MCU. A movie pitting Captain America against Harrison Ford as a Red Hulk should open higher by rights, but Anthony Mackie's Sam Wilson doesn't have the advantage of having led the Avengers franchise or being joined by a co-star as popular as Robert Downey Jr. 

Simply put, superhero movies are no longer guaranteed hits and convincing people to buy a ticket will also be a challenge for Thunderbolts* and The Fantastic Four: First Steps later this summer (Superman too).

Facing off with Captain America: Brave New World this weekend will be Paddington in Peru; after already opening overseas, it's eyeing a mere $15 million - $17 million debut in North America so shouldn't bother Cap too much.

Will you be heading to theaters to watch Captain America: Brave New World this weekend?

In Captain America: Brave New World, after meeting with newly elected U.S. President Thaddeus Ross, played by Harrison Ford in his Marvel Cinematic Universe debut, Sam Wilson finds himself in the middle of an international incident. He must discover the reason behind a nefarious global plot before the true mastermind has the entire world seeing red.

The movie stars Anthony Mackie, Danny Ramirez, Shira Haas, Xosha Roquemore, Carl Lumbly, with Giancarlo Esposito, Liv Tyler, Tim Blake Nelson, and Harrison Ford. The movie is directed by Julius Onah and produced by Kevin Feige and Nate Moore. Louis D’Esposito and Charles Newirth serve as executive producers.

Captain America: Brave New World opens in U.S. theaters on February 14, 2025.

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harryba11zack
harryba11zack - 2/11/2025, 2:13 PM
steve who?
asherman93
asherman93 - 2/11/2025, 2:15 PM
@harryba11zack - Steve Rogers, the man who recognized that Sam Wilson was worthy of the shield.
MakeAmericaGrea
MakeAmericaGrea - 2/11/2025, 2:31 PM
@asherman93 -

According to Peggin' Feige.

It's just a shitty alternate reality.

Steve is still young and fighting in the 2020s.
Ryguy88
Ryguy88 - 2/11/2025, 3:32 PM
@asherman93 - you mean the writers recognized it, Steve Rogers isnt a real person.
asherman93
asherman93 - 2/11/2025, 3:33 PM
@MakeAmericaGrea - Sam has traditionally been one of Steve's best friends in the comics.
MCU!Sam was willing to get back in the fight after being retired from the military just because "Captain America needs [his] help".

Sam is absolutely worthy of wielding the shield.
incredibleTalk
incredibleTalk - 2/11/2025, 3:42 PM
@harryba11zack - If Red Hulk is the Chiefs then Birdman gonna put his azz to sleep...Go Eagles!!!!

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MakeAmericaGrea
MakeAmericaGrea - 2/11/2025, 6:47 PM
@asherman93 -

I'm just one person.

Millions of other people want Steve as the only Captain America.

They want Sam as Falcon only.
MakeAmericaGrea
MakeAmericaGrea - 2/11/2025, 6:50 PM
@incredibleTalk -

Red Hulk gonna bite Falcon in half.
Feralwookiee
Feralwookiee - 2/11/2025, 2:14 PM
Comparing this to the MCU's biggest flop is not exactly a ringing endorsement.
Kozmik
Kozmik - 2/11/2025, 2:20 PM
@Feralwookiee - You didn't read the article, did you? Gotta ask because apparently you missed the whole 'biggest domestic debut' part, as well as opening somewhere in the $200 million ballpark.

In other words it sounds like – assuming that the $180 million budget is accurate – well on its way toward being profitable (even taking into account the typical 40-50% second week decline).
MakeAmericaGrea
MakeAmericaGrea - 2/11/2025, 2:34 PM
@Kozmik -

*Possibly* making that money.

It won't definitely make that much money.

And it will have big drop offs in its second and third weekends.

Profitability is a long shot.
Kozmik
Kozmik - 2/11/2025, 2:41 PM
@MakeAmericaGrea - Never said otherwise, though the thing is you choose to be a pessimist not based on anything other than – for some weird reason you have yet to disclose – you really want this movie to fail.
MakeAmericaGrea
MakeAmericaGrea - 2/11/2025, 2:50 PM
@Kozmik -

I don't choose to be a pessimist.

Shitty people force me to be a realist.

When Hollywood makes good movies I'll say so.

Do you choose to be a non discriminating consumer?
MakeAmericaGrea
MakeAmericaGrea - 2/11/2025, 2:53 PM
@Kozmik -

You are promoting the unlikely scenario that it will perform well over a four day weekend, domestically, internationally, et al.

But it doing well in any way is unlikely and not guaranteed.
Kozmik
Kozmik - 2/11/2025, 2:55 PM
@MakeAmericaGrea - You are so angry? It's just a movie, do whatever you need to do to relax because it just isn't that serious.
Kozmik
Kozmik - 2/11/2025, 2:56 PM
@MakeAmericaGrea - The only thing guaranteed to death, and neither we or the stars above are immune to it.

The rest of your statement is assumed – though there's a basis for the optimism, which the article mentions.
bobevanz
bobevanz - 2/11/2025, 2:57 PM
@Kozmik - Marvel movies are always front loaded so opening weekend worldwide is going to be the highest. Once they lift the embargo tomorrow, that'll dictate how many walk up's they get. If the reviews are tepid like most assume, you're looking closer to 80m domestic. Word of mouth has to be fantastic or this will most certainly lose money at the box office (180m budget my ass) and it'll hurt whatever little hype there is for Thunderbolts. Hopium is strong with this site, yet the sentiment changes immensely when it's a DC movie. So I'm gonna play devils advocate
Feralwookiee
Feralwookiee - 2/11/2025, 3:01 PM
@Kozmik - Of course I read the article and it'll drop off a cliff after week one.
I don't see it making more than $450 million ww, which is a flop.
AnEye
AnEye - 2/11/2025, 3:14 PM
@Kozmik - 4,100 NA theaters yet only opening to a $90-$95 four day domestic weekend?

Uhhhh that is not good. Variety is never going to put their own two cents for BO reports, but that is not a good. Considering it's less than two hours, more screens means it should have higher numbers exceeding $100 million. Also the projections just a few days ago said it was going to be over $100 million four day weekend...now it's not?

Again, comparing this to The Marvels or any of the lower end MCU movies is never a good sign.
MakeAmericaGrea
MakeAmericaGrea - 2/11/2025, 3:24 PM
@Kozmik -

I'm debating with people saying illogical things.

If it's just a movie, you are free to stop talking about it. And you are free to not gaslight me, and let me say what I want to say.
MakeAmericaGrea
MakeAmericaGrea - 2/11/2025, 3:28 PM
@Kozmik -

It doing well in any way is also assumed, but less likely than it doing poorly or just okay.

I'm being pessimistic with this. Pessimistic that it will fail. I have high hopes.

Of course Josh is trying, but failing, to hype this up.

He wants freebies and perks from Disney.

He won't tell us how he really feels about all this Disney slop.
Ryguy88
Ryguy88 - 2/11/2025, 3:35 PM
@Kozmik - this will make between $500-600M on a $200M budget plus likely $150M in marketing. That's $350M all in. If they take 50% of those box office receipts this movie is at least $50M in the hole.
Kozmik
Kozmik - 2/11/2025, 3:58 PM
@bobevanz - Marvel movies!? That's the case with superhero movies in general, never mind tentpoles.

They're front-loaded in the sense that the people who tend to be really into these movies are REALLY into these movies, so they turn out early, creating a huge drop in following weeks (typically somewhere in ballpark of 40's- 50's).

And what the opposite of 'Hopium,' which I ask because your premise has a lot of 'ifs,' indicators that what you're talking about is more an extension of your feelings than any sort of fact.

You can't be critical of people who wish the best for something just because you don't, for reasons you don't seem to want to reveal.
Kozmik
Kozmik - 2/11/2025, 3:59 PM
@MakeAmericaGrea - You clearly can say what you want to say, just as I can.

In other words, don't whinge when you're challenged.
bobevanz
bobevanz - 2/11/2025, 4:41 PM
@Kozmik - lmao and what you see is somehow guaranteed as opposed to what I said? Give me a break. You've been around here just as long as me so take it easy lol
AllsGood
AllsGood - 2/11/2025, 5:08 PM
@Feralwookiee - Captain America: Brave New World is Heading for 200 Million Plus Opening Weekend if the Reviews are good.

When you consider that The Marvels made only $206.1 million during its Entire Theatrical Run, you'd best believe Marvel Studios will be very happy with numbers like these. If the reviews are good, it could exceed expectations.
AllsGood
AllsGood - 2/11/2025, 5:49 PM
@MakeAmericaGrea - it's why the Right and people like you can't beat Disney and Marvel Studios there market is world population.

The Right and all You care about is America and white population.
Feralwookiee
Feralwookiee - 2/11/2025, 5:51 PM
@AllsGood - When you consider this movie cost at least $180 million, not including marketing, it needs to make at least $450 million just to break even.
It will likely have a huge drop in week two and will struggle to hit even that low mark.
We will see.
Soulrazor
Soulrazor - 2/11/2025, 6:35 PM
@Feralwookiee - With a marketing budget as large as films of this sort get (nothing less than $100m) and theaters keeping half of the box office, the movie will have to pull in far more than $450m to break even. Anything under about $600m will likely be a loss. Which is too bad because Mackie did a fine job as Falcon and the while trying to fill the shoes of a figurative giant is a cool concept for the story.
Wallywest001
Wallywest001 - 2/11/2025, 6:43 PM
@Kozmik - it’s gonna need to make atleast 750 million to break even. Probably more since there were re-shoots.
Wallywest001
Wallywest001 - 2/11/2025, 6:45 PM
@bobevanz - unconfirmed reports has put the budget closer to 275 million, then factor in atleast 125 million in marketing. This movie gonna need to make at least 759 million to break even. Probably more than that
MakeAmericaGrea
MakeAmericaGrea - 2/11/2025, 6:56 PM
@Kozmik -

You said I should relax because this is only a movie.

So you think I shouldn't talk poorly about it because it's a movie?
MakeAmericaGrea
MakeAmericaGrea - 2/11/2025, 7:01 PM
@AllsGood -

The majority of reviews will likely not be good.

If they are it's because a bunch of leftie critics want revenge against conservatives, and are afraid to be considered racists.

If it does make $200 million over it's first five days, it may plummet in the two to six weeks after.

And not make much of a profit, if any.
MakeAmericaGrea
MakeAmericaGrea - 2/11/2025, 7:03 PM
@AllsGood -

You don't know that people in the right can't beat Disney and Marvel Studios.

No, the world population is not their market.

I care about more than America and White people.
AllsGood
AllsGood - 2/11/2025, 2:15 PM
CAPTAIN AMERICA: BRAVE NEW WORLD Eyeing Global Opening Bigger Than THE MARVELS' Entire Box Office Run

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AllsNotGood
AllsNotGood - 2/11/2025, 2:17 PM
@AllsGood - User Comment Image

I genuinely don't know if you are trolling us or there is something wrong with you because this behaviour is not normal
AllsGood
AllsGood - 2/11/2025, 2:20 PM
@AllsNotGood -
User Comment Image
AllsNotGood
AllsNotGood - 2/11/2025, 2:23 PM
@AllsGood - please explain to me how comparing it to the marvels is a win.
MakeAmericaGrea
MakeAmericaGrea - 2/11/2025, 2:35 PM
@AllsGood -

That isn't guaranteed.
AllsGood
AllsGood - 2/11/2025, 2:49 PM
@MakeAmericaGrea - NOW we need Rotten Tomatoes Critics Reviews. Make or Moment for Brave New World.
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