THUNDERBOLTS* Box Office Tracking Points To A Soft Domestic Opening For Next Marvel Studios Movie

THUNDERBOLTS* Box Office Tracking Points To A Soft Domestic Opening For Next Marvel Studios Movie

Thunderbolts* has finally hit tracking boards and it appears the next Marvel Studios movie will get off to a sluggish start at the North American box office with a $70 million debut. Check it out...

By JoshWilding - Apr 10, 2025 01:04 PM EST
Filed Under: Thunderbolts
Source: The Hollywood Reporter

Thunderbolts* has all the makings of one of Marvel Studios' best movies. However, that doesn't mean it has the widespread appeal needed at a time when many people seem to be suffering from "superhero fatigue."

The movie will feature characters from Black Widow, The Falcon and The Winter Soldier and, er, Ant-Man and The Wasp for a team-up that's expected to set the stage for us to meet the New Avengers. 

However, Marvel Studios might want to consider revealing what the asterisk stands for sooner rather than later, based on early box office tracking data shared by The Hollywood Reporter

According to the trade, Thunderbolts* is eyeing a debut between $63 million - $77 million, with a target of $70 million. That's on the lower end for an MCU title, though Disney insiders caution that "there's plenty of room for growth, noting that the film’s rag-tag team of antiheroes and villains are making their appearance on the big screen for the first time, so aren’t a known property."

Advance ticket sales are said to be on the slow side as of now, but "The studio says the response to the film has been strong among those treated to early screenings, as well as among theater owners, who saw footage of Thunderbolts at CinemaCon last week. Several exhibitors, along with rival studio execs, told THR the film looks potentially fun and appealing."

Tracking has been all over the place since the pandemic and can no longer be relied on. A Minecraft Movie is proof of that as it massively exceeded expectations, and there are still a few weeks left for Marvel Studios to build excitement for Thunderbolts*

This $70 million estimate puts the movie in the same ballpark as Thor ($65 million), Eternals ($71 million), and Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings ($75.3 million). It's also worth noting that a low-ish opening doesn't mean a movie like Thunderbolts* won't ultimately have legs and become a big hit.

Check out a new promo for Thunderbolts* in the X post below.

In Thunderbolts*, Marvel Studios assembles an unconventional team of antiheroes - Yelena Belova, Bucky Barnes, Red Guardian, Ghost, Taskmaster and John Walker. After finding themselves ensnared in a death trap set by Valentina Allegra de Fontaine, these disillusioned castoffs must embark on a dangerous mission that will force them to confront the darkest corners of their pasts.

Will this dysfunctional group tear themselves apart, or find redemption and unite as something much more before it’s too late?

The cast of Thunderbolts* will be led by Florence Pugh as Yelena Boleva, Sebastian Stan as Bucky Barnes, David Harbour as Red Guardian, Wyatt Russell as U.S. Agent, Hannah John-Kamen as Ghost, Olga Kurylenko as Taskmaster, Julia Louis-Dreyfus as Valentina Allegra de Fontaine, and Lewis Pullman as "Bob."

Written by Eric Pearson, Lee Sung Jin, and Joanna Calo, and directed by Jake Schreier, Thunderbolts* is currently set to be released in theaters on May 2, 2025.

THUNDERBOLTS* First Clip Reveals That There's A Void Inside Florence Pugh's Yelena Belova
Related:

THUNDERBOLTS* First Clip Reveals That There's A "Void" Inside Florence Pugh's Yelena Belova

THUNDERBOLTS* Star Olga Kurylenko Says [Marvel Studios] Changed A Couple Of Things With The Movie
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THUNDERBOLTS* Star Olga Kurylenko Says "[Marvel Studios] Changed A Couple Of Things" With The Movie

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Mrnorth1921
Mrnorth1921 - 4/10/2025, 1:42 PM
It might make more thanks to word of mouth. If the movie is good. But from what I have been hearing. It’s a really good movie. And if mine craft was only expecting a 65 million opening in us and got 150 mill nationwide. This movie might surprise us and reach 100 mill if the reviews are good.
Huskers
Huskers - 4/10/2025, 1:46 PM
@Mrnorth1921 - except Minecraft is a widely popular game among kids. Thunderbolts isn’t widely recognizable.
Mrnorth1921
Mrnorth1921 - 4/10/2025, 1:50 PM
@Huskers - true. But what I am saying is that estimates are not always accurate. And again, it could perform better when the reviews kick in.
dragon316
dragon316 - 4/10/2025, 2:27 PM
@Huskers - same with comic books
dragon316
dragon316 - 4/10/2025, 2:28 PM
@Mrnorth1921 - word of mouth doesn’t reflect success of movie dragonball super hero’s had very little reviews on YouTube no marketing nothing and here are results https://movieweb.com/dragon-ball-super-wins-box-office/
Mrnorth1921
Mrnorth1921 - 4/10/2025, 2:35 PM
@dragon316 - that was limited viewings and the budgets for this movies are infamously low. Mostly because that they pay next to nothing to the artists and animators in Japan. Broly only cost 15 mill to make. Superhero was 25 mill. Had toei opened their wallets a little more and advertise more. They would have made 200-300 mill world wide.

Thunderbolts doesn’t have big characters in there besides Bucky and maybe Sentry. So it was expected to have smaller Bo than Wolverine and Deadpool. But again, if the reviews are good. This will spark interest and people will watch it and repeated viewings.
byrd42
byrd42 - 4/10/2025, 7:23 PM
@Mrnorth1921 - I think it will open lower than expected and have frank Bruno's legs after taking a Mike Tyson left hook.
Mrnorth1921
Mrnorth1921 - 4/10/2025, 8:00 PM
@byrd42 - if word of mouth is good. It will increase numbers. And repeat viewings. I keep hearing great things about it. A reason why cap faltered was because of all the behind scenes issues. Reshoots and etc. Virtually redoing the movie.

Thunderbolts has had none of those issues. Great test screenings. But their biggest weakness will be that only known member in the team is Bucky. But if the movie does well. It will increase in numbers. And I believe that it will surpass Capt 4 BO. By how much? I don’t know. But I think it will do better over all.
Apophis71
Apophis71 - 4/11/2025, 6:51 AM
@Mrnorth1921 - There is also a fair amount of RL uncertainty which could impact early ticket sales, if your less sure how the economy and job security etc your less likely to buy in advance or at least wait till closer to release.

The numbers will be what they will be, I'd rather have a great film that struggles to break even than a meh one that somehow pulls of a big BO.
thedrudo
thedrudo - 4/10/2025, 1:43 PM
Stinks… but I’m hyped!!

Malatrova15
Malatrova15 - 4/10/2025, 1:44 PM
Looks like Marvel smash openings are a thing of the past
HagridsHole1
HagridsHole1 - 4/10/2025, 1:49 PM
@Malatrova15 - Past is relative I suppose.

Deadpool and Wolverine had the highest opening...of 2024, less than a year ago 🫢

Soooooo really recent past, I guess ?
Malatrova15
Malatrova15 - 4/10/2025, 1:57 PM
@HagridsHole1 - Deadpool and Wolverine are an artifact of the Fox era even now that they are shoehorned in the DCU.. I mean Feige Marvel.. That one is still on the gutter... And guess what he Will use to try to sabe it in Avengers Doomsday? Yes.. More Fox era nostalgia
HagridsHole1
HagridsHole1 - 4/10/2025, 2:00 PM
@Malatrova15 - Did Deadpool and Wolverine, a Marvel Studios film that was released 9 months ago have the highest opening of any film, last year ?
Oberlin4Prez
Oberlin4Prez - 4/10/2025, 2:07 PM
@Malatrova15 - I love the NWH, Guardians 3 and Dp/W argument. Disney has put out like 10 other movies around those movies that have bombed or barely broken even, nevermind the piss poor ratings on D+, but yeah 3 movies are enough to keep the whole franchise afloat. Lol
Yellow
Yellow - 4/10/2025, 3:42 PM
@Malatrova15 - maybe it's expected, it's a movie about very VERY niche characters
byrd42
byrd42 - 4/10/2025, 7:26 PM
@HagridsHole1 - only because it had Deadpool, wolverine and a bunch of other interesting apoearence. Thunderbolts has nothing except Bucky, and he can't carry this turd.
TheWalkingCuban
TheWalkingCuban - 4/11/2025, 3:05 AM
@Malatrova15 - guaranteed ones anyway. There will be smash openings but no longer just because it’s marvel. That’s def over. Now it’s gotta be the greats. And yeah it’s marvel’s fault, but I don’t feel like getting into that. Makes me age faster. Goodbye!
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ThorArms
ThorArms - 4/10/2025, 1:44 PM
Eh that's about what I expected. It has the first couple weeks of May by itself so if reviews are good it will be fine.
Huskers
Huskers - 4/10/2025, 1:44 PM
Marvel and Disney don’t have the credibility they used to have to open strong based just on brand name anymore. And Thunderbolts aren’t a widely known IP outside of comics fans. Plus, even for comics fans, this is nothing like the comics version. So not surprising. If it’s a good film, word of mouth will need to carry it.
TrentCrimm
TrentCrimm - 4/10/2025, 2:17 PM
@Huskers -

I don't even think it has as much to do with credibility as it does the characters they're using.

Fan service goes a long way but the general audience is what drives the box office numbers, pre-Endgame was built on a handful of established characters that audiences got used to seeing. Now we're in the territory of what feels like 50 different TV shows, 30 different movies, and all these side characters or b-listers from low performing shows and movies, that the GA doesn't recognise or connect with, it's a lot of "Who's that?" .People just aren't connecting with the MCU the way they were before.
Wahhvacado
Wahhvacado - 4/10/2025, 1:45 PM
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MakeAmericaGrea
MakeAmericaGrea - 4/10/2025, 1:49 PM
@Wahhvacado -

Some people in theaters will have to explain how it almost or barely makes a profit.
Gambito
Gambito - 4/10/2025, 1:52 PM
@Wahhvacado - me too, don’t care about any debates you put Bucky and the Sentry in a movie I’ll be there
Wahhvacado
Wahhvacado - 4/10/2025, 1:58 PM
@MakeAmericaGrea - User Comment Image
Wahhvacado
Wahhvacado - 4/10/2025, 1:58 PM
@Gambito - Same! I love the Sentry, here is to hoping they do him justice
BruceWayng
BruceWayng - 4/10/2025, 1:46 PM
It’s going to be hilarious to watch the Jon Campea, John Rocha and Grace Randolph types try to justify Minecraft staying in the number 1 slot throughout Thunderbolts run…sorry I forgot it’s Thunderbolts*
MakeAmericaGrea
MakeAmericaGrea - 4/10/2025, 1:47 PM
🥳🎉🎈

We are winning.

Keep up the boycotts.

We made New World Order and No White bomb.

We can make Thunderbolts and Fantastic Four bomb too.

It's only fair for what Disney did to Star Wars, Marvel, Indiana Jones, Willow, Pixar, Alien, Predator, and Disney Disney.
Superheromoviefan
Superheromoviefan - 4/10/2025, 1:52 PM
@MakeAmericaGrea -
you guys cant even buy eggs lol
Yellow
Yellow - 4/10/2025, 1:59 PM
@MakeAmericaGrea - wait why you want these movies to bomb?

Maybe I am missing something
HagridsHole1
HagridsHole1 - 4/10/2025, 2:05 PM
@Yellow -

Indoctrinated.

/End
Yellow
Yellow - 4/10/2025, 2:07 PM
@HagridsHole1 - what?
I was asking a real question here haha
HagridsHole1
HagridsHole1 - 4/10/2025, 2:11 PM
@Yellow -

And I gave you the answer you were looking for. You can't apply normal, logical thought to these types of people
supermanrex
supermanrex - 4/10/2025, 2:26 PM
@Yellow - because negative hot takes are trendy now. right now bashing Disney and Marvel is all the rage for likes and clicks.
THEKENDOMAN
THEKENDOMAN - 4/10/2025, 2:27 PM
@MakeAmericaGrea - For [frick]s Sake
MrDandy
MrDandy - 4/10/2025, 3:16 PM
@Yellow - He is the new local troll.
Hoot3
Hoot3 - 4/10/2025, 3:53 PM
@Yellow - Because he (or she) is an insufferable little b*.
Luigi
Luigi - 4/10/2025, 3:54 PM
@MakeAmericaGrea - Yeah, you made Snow White bomb. It has nothing to do with it being too expensive and a remake that's been remade several times already. If she was white, the movie would be sweeping nation like Thunderbolts.
Methos5000
Methos5000 - 4/10/2025, 6:45 PM
@MakeAmericaGrea - got stfu up, 400+ million is a bomb? You are such a [frick]ing cuck moron troll. I'll say again who the hell has time to troll lost multiple times on every godamned post on a comic book website?
Rpendo
Rpendo - 4/10/2025, 7:28 PM
@MakeAmericaGrea - Your idiot godking tanked the American economy this week, kiddo.

I thought you MAGA kids were supposed to be all masculine and stoic…but all I see you do is come onto a comic book movie website and whine, and encourage others to join you in your whining. Is that what men are, these days? Dudes who spend way too much time focusing on stuff they don’t like, and then complaining about it publicly/anonymously? Jesus.

Honestly, guys like you strike me as people who only watch movies so that they can complain what they don’t like about them online. What if this is good? Will that confuse you? Will you not know what to do, at that point?

I swear, guys like you give men a bad name. Your childish (and, again, very public and anonymous) bitching and moaning about dudes in spandex fighting monsters… good lord.

Go to the gym, get a girlfriend, stop trying to get people to be as miserable as you are, and get the [frick] offline for a week.

Grow up, boy. You’re embarrassing yourself.
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