AQUAMAN Long Range Tracking Points To A $60 Million Opening Weekend In North America

AQUAMAN Long Range Tracking Points To A $60 Million Opening Weekend In North America

There's just under two months to go until Aquaman is released and now long range tracking has shed some light on just how much the DC Comics adaptation could make during its opening weekend in December...

By JoshWilding - Oct 27, 2018 06:10 AM EST
Filed Under: Aquaman
Source: Box Office
The marketing campaign for Aquaman hasn't really risen from the depths as of yet but long-range tracking details for the DC Comics adaptation has surfaced and it's (mostly) looking good for the movie.

Apparently, the James Wan helmed release is looking at an estimated opening weekend of $40 million - $60 million. The latter number would put it in the same realm as Captain America: The First Avenger ($65.1 million), Hulk ($62.1 million), The Amazing Spider-Man ($62 million), and Ant-Man ($57.2 million). 

However, should it fall lower than that, Aquaman could land somewhere alongside the likes of Green Lantern ($53.1 million), Batman Begins ($48.7 million), or Daredevil ($40.3 million). 

So, is this good news or bad news? It's hard to say. Aquaman could easily exceed expectations if reviews are overwhelmingly positive, while it may very well make big money overseas. However, these low projections aren't a huge surprise considering the fact that the likes of Bumblebee and Mary Poppins Returns will compete against it in December and this is the first
DCEU movie after Justice League.

We'll just have to wait and see but stay tuned for more box office projections as we have them.
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Mattygrand
Mattygrand - 10/27/2018, 6:35 AM
Fingers crossed!
CaptainElrond
CaptainElrond - 10/27/2018, 6:44 AM
"However, should it fall lower than that, Aquaman could land somewhere alongside the likes of Green Lantern ($53.1 million), Batman Begins ($48.7 million), or Daredevil ($40.3 million)."

Oskir
Oskir - 10/27/2018, 6:46 AM
Too soon, but I have to say the marketing is a little weird for now
PBIRD
PBIRD - 10/27/2018, 10:57 AM
@Oskir - yeah, they ain't pushing it at all
Saga
Saga - 10/27/2018, 6:48 AM
Important to remember: it opens on december. Star wars aside, films opening on december usually have okay openings and then they have 2 months of legs. Avatar opened modestly, jumanji as well
CaptainElrond
CaptainElrond - 10/27/2018, 6:52 AM
No but overall for these perdictions.

JohnnyTBP
JohnnyTBP - 10/27/2018, 6:58 AM
85 million is my guess
BringFFtoMCU
BringFFtoMCU - 10/27/2018, 7:02 AM
Way too early to predict.

But I don’t see this making over $50-65 mil in opening weekend.
AgeofHeroes
AgeofHeroes - 10/27/2018, 7:03 AM
@BringFFtoMCU - always the pessimist
CaptainElrond
CaptainElrond - 10/27/2018, 7:04 AM
@DoomPatrolGuy - Pessimism is a worthy trait. It leads to no disappointments and pleasant surprises.
AgeofHeroes
AgeofHeroes - 10/27/2018, 7:02 AM
100-150M especially since its comes out in china 2 weeks earlier. If reviews are really good, WB will market like hell
HeavyMetal4Life
HeavyMetal4Life - 10/27/2018, 7:11 AM
Yikes

regularmovieguy
regularmovieguy - 10/27/2018, 7:16 AM
If this makes 60 mil + with that competition then that would be a huge accomplishment. Lessss go.

Pantherpool
Pantherpool - 10/27/2018, 7:22 AM
I predict around $70M opening. Christmas legs will get it over $200M in total. Global total will be around $600M. This one will get a "fresh" rating. A solid start for Aquaman's trilogy.

StarlordsDad
StarlordsDad - 10/27/2018, 7:25 AM
Don't forget Bumblebee and Mary Poppins open the same weekend they'll all hurt each other significantly
HeavyMetal4Life
HeavyMetal4Life - 10/27/2018, 7:28 AM
@StarlordsDad - yeah, especially with Bumblebee going for that nostalgia feel.
LordHarryLatts
LordHarryLatts - 10/27/2018, 7:27 AM
Love to see it get over 80+. I think the excitement will really start for it right about turkey time.
Pantherpool
Pantherpool - 10/27/2018, 7:27 AM
I do think though that Shazam (with its Christmas setting and more family friendly tone) would have been a better fit with that release date.

HeavyMetal4Life
HeavyMetal4Life - 10/27/2018, 7:29 AM
@Pantherpool - yup
Oberlin4Prez
Oberlin4Prez - 10/27/2018, 7:31 AM
Yeah,
I think this is a bit of a low-ball estimate, hence the fact it's long range. Even if it opens low by comparison to other CBM's, if it's good then I can see it making Jumanji level money.
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