CAPTAIN AMERICA: BRAVE NEW WORLD Box Office Update Reveals How Much It Really Needs To Earn To Break Even

CAPTAIN AMERICA: BRAVE NEW WORLD Box Office Update Reveals How Much It Really Needs To Earn To Break Even

We have an update on current Presidents' Day weekend projections for Captain America: Brave New World, including news on how much it will need to earn worldwide to break even. Read on for details...

By JoshWilding - Feb 16, 2025 04:02 AM EST
Source: Deadline

We'll have updated numbers a little later today, but the latest box office projections from Deadline reveal that Captain America: Brave New World earned $27 million on Saturday. 

The trade remains confident that the MCU movie will end up in the mid-to-high $90 million range but suggests it could head north of $100 million if it can top Ant-Man and The Wasp: Quantumania's $20.5 million Sunday in 2023. On Monday, the latest Captain America movie needs to gross over $11.5 million to reach a $100 million Presidents' Day opening weekend. 

For now, its estimated three-day haul is $87 million. This is a solid start for Captain America: Brave New World, albeit one that matters less than its upcoming second weekend in theaters. That will make or break the movie and likely decide whether it's going to be a hit. 

According to this latest report, Captain America: Brave New World needs to earn around $425 million at the worldwide box office to break even (its global debut this weekend is expected to be around the $200 million mark).

There have been some wild claims about the budget ballooning to $300 million after reshoots, though that remains little more than a rumour at this stage. If there's even a kernel of truth to that, the odds are well and truly stacked against this one. 

While British favourite Paddington in Peru hasn't troubled the Marvel Studios movie in North America this weekend, Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy has easily defeated Captain America: Brave New World in the UK, earning nearly twice as much based on current estimates. 

What did you watch in theaters this weekend? As always, let us know in the comments section below.

In Captain America: Brave New World, after meeting with newly elected U.S. President Thaddeus Ross, played by Harrison Ford in his Marvel Cinematic Universe debut, Sam Wilson finds himself in the middle of an international incident. He must discover the reason behind a nefarious global plot before the true mastermind has the entire world seeing red.

The movie stars Anthony Mackie, Danny Ramirez, Shira Haas, Xosha Roquemore, Carl Lumbly, with Giancarlo Esposito, Liv Tyler, Tim Blake Nelson, and Harrison Ford. The movie is directed by Julius Onah and produced by Kevin Feige and Nate Moore. Louis D’Esposito and Charles Newirth serve as executive producers.

"Flawed but functional, Captain America: Brave New World's many problems are largely forgotten any time Anthony Mackie and Harrison Ford electrify the screen," we said in our review"And when Red Hulk shows up, the movie reaches new heights of awesome."

Captain America: Brave New World opens in U.S. theaters on February 14, 2025.

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BraveNewClunge
BraveNewClunge - 2/16/2025, 5:04 AM
Bridget jones has so many showings for some reason. My local cinema isn't showing Cap at all 😬😮‍💨
CaptainAwkward
CaptainAwkward - 2/16/2025, 5:05 AM
@BraveNewClunge - damn.
BraveNewClunge
BraveNewClunge - 2/16/2025, 5:07 AM
@CaptainAwkward - it's weird, not one of the 3 bridget jones movies have surpassed 300m WW yet they have a shit load of showings like endgame did 😅🤣
CaptainAwkward
CaptainAwkward - 2/16/2025, 5:23 AM
@BraveNewClunge - I remember seeing Bridget jones 2 in theatres. I can’t imagine watching this new one now. 😆😆😆🤣🤣😆
ObserverIO
ObserverIO - 2/16/2025, 5:57 AM
@BraveNewClunge - It's become something of a classic series for young girls growing up, so this is like the first big Bridgett movie to them. Also it's cross-generational so they can takes their moms and grandmas.

Cap 4's good for this weekend, but why bother why its gonna start bleeding empty seats for the rest of it's run.
AllsNotGood
AllsNotGood - 2/16/2025, 6:11 AM
@BraveNewClunge - damn those white women
BraveNewClunge
BraveNewClunge - 2/16/2025, 6:14 AM
@ObserverIO - 😅😅 this is probably something im not aware of as this middle class British romcom stuff has never appealed to me.
BraveNewClunge
BraveNewClunge - 2/16/2025, 6:15 AM
@CaptainAwkward - oh man, that must have been painful to watch 😅🤣
BraveNewClunge
BraveNewClunge - 2/16/2025, 6:16 AM
@AllsNotGood - 😅🤣 you're obsessed with race. Time to grow up 👀
KennKathleen
KennKathleen - 2/16/2025, 6:30 AM
@BraveNewClunge - really?
Feralwookiee
Feralwookiee - 2/16/2025, 6:37 AM
@AllsNotGood - Agreed. 👍😆
BraveNewClunge
BraveNewClunge - 2/16/2025, 7:03 AM
@KennKathleen - yep, I wish I knew how to screenshot and show pics but there's a lot of screen for bridget jones.
marvel72
marvel72 - 2/16/2025, 7:18 AM
@BraveNewClunge - But Bridget Jones movies don't cost $180 million plus to make.
dragon316
dragon316 - 2/16/2025, 1:26 PM
@BraveNewClunge - that’s werid showing where I live
CaptainAwkward
CaptainAwkward - 2/16/2025, 5:12 AM
This movie will flop badly but Disney knew this plus they got thunderbolts and F4 that will redeem the box office losses of this movie. No one cares about Sam Wilson as Captain America. If there was more red hulk and a cameo from an old Steve Rogers this movie would have made more.
Feralwookiee
Feralwookiee - 2/16/2025, 6:39 AM
@ObserverIO - Duuuuude. 😑
CaptainFuryAgent
CaptainFuryAgent - 2/16/2025, 8:58 AM
@CaptainAwkward - No one but the millions who made it the #1 movie in the world and take in 100 million.
CaptainAwkward
CaptainAwkward - 2/16/2025, 11:33 AM
@CaptainFuryAgent - However the eventual overall box office gross will be far from sufficient. I wish the film all the success in the world. I enjoyed it and I’ll watch it again at some point but we all know within a week it will be forgotten, not to mention a significant reduction in global revenue.
CaptainAwkward
CaptainAwkward - 2/16/2025, 11:35 AM
@CaptainFuryAgent - I liked the movie, I enjoyed it, I will watch it again at a later point but we all know this will be one of the lowest grossing MCU movies. Not that it matters in the long run, I’m just stating facts.
MarvelZombie616
MarvelZombie616 - 2/16/2025, 5:17 AM
I did enjoy the Hilk battle, but everything else was meh.
KennKathleen
KennKathleen - 2/16/2025, 12:24 PM
@MarvelZombie616 - "Meh"? Don't you mean "meeeeeehhhhhhh"...?






🏏 🦗
Timerider
Timerider - 2/16/2025, 5:25 AM
The Avengers films will make billions and help with the loss of a few duds. I think Thunderbolts* will do way better than Cap 4 did. Fantastic Four will make a billion, so Disney will be ok. Snow White and Tron 3 will probably lose some, but Avengers Doomsday and Secret Wars will make up for those losses.
vectorsigma
vectorsigma - 2/16/2025, 7:35 AM
@Timerider - good luck to that. The russos are hacks. They made infinity war and endgame with the hype so high caused by avengers 1.

Now what will they use as momentum?

Marvel will be too desperate and use their big guns spiderman, wolverine and deadpool to market these films as they have little momentum to hype the next avengers movies
Feralwookiee
Feralwookiee - 2/16/2025, 8:17 AM
@Timerider - "The Avengers films will make billions and help with the loss of a few duds."

I don't think that's a given anymore. The wheels of the MCU express have slowed down greatly in the past few years and general audiences are basically over it.

Once you lose momentum, it's extremely hard to get it back, but we'll see.
bobevanz
bobevanz - 2/16/2025, 9:22 AM
@Timerider - so you're saying they'll break even lmao
ntwrk
ntwrk - 2/16/2025, 5:37 AM
Nobody's defeating the combined power of valentine's and a Bridget Jones legacy sequel in the UK. This is the one time that generation will go to the cinema this year, and complain about the prices. Plus, it's got that guy (handsome, awful actor) from Netflix's One Day, so that'll drag in some younger audiences. It's all very twee, and safe, and comfortable and you cannot underestimate it's appeal (plus how comparatively cheap it is to make). I mean [frick], it's got Patrick Dempsey in it. It's like the greatest hits of comfort television.
Rosraf
Rosraf - 2/16/2025, 6:59 AM
@ntwrk - Yeah, Brave New World v. Old British Sequel. Sam never had a chance. =c)
vectorsigma
vectorsigma - 2/16/2025, 5:43 AM
I have been saying. The success of d&w is not good precedent. It influenxes the general audience into expecting more of the same slop.

When things go normal like phase 1-3, theyd go into hating the film.

It is decent and dont deserve the hate. Not perfect but it has its moments.
ObserverIO
ObserverIO - 2/16/2025, 6:05 AM
@vectorsigma - So I take it you no longer want Kevin Feige to resign then.
vectorsigma
vectorsigma - 2/16/2025, 7:11 AM
@ObserverIO - id prefer him to resign but he can still say and i wont mind as long as reynolds gets cancelled with that baldoni thing. With that case, it is coming into light that he seems to want a higher stake/control at marvel
ObserverIO
ObserverIO - 2/16/2025, 7:24 AM
@vectorsigma - What did you think of It Ends With Us? I thought it was better than Deadpool & Wolverine and yet I only saw it once compared to numerous theatrical visitations for D&W.
vectorsigma
vectorsigma - 2/16/2025, 7:26 AM
@ObserverIO - i never saw it, not my type tbh. Amd im not sure if you are asking this im jest as im not gettint it, lolz
ObserverIO
ObserverIO - 2/16/2025, 7:52 AM
@vectorsigma - No for real I thought it was better than D&W. But just not worth as many cinema visits because D&W was fun with all the cameos and fan service.
vectorsigma
vectorsigma - 2/16/2025, 7:59 AM
@ObserverIO - to each their own as usual for us.

I camt stand Reynolds' humor and the whole movie is cringe for me.

But going back to my point, d&w has 94% audience meter while this has 80%. The GA was expecting the same kind of slop and was disappointed.

I thank Feige for experimenting on going back to basics at least. No nostslgia/cameo bait, not much humor, and the post credits scene was simple
Itwasme
Itwasme - 2/16/2025, 3:22 PM
@vectorsigma - BO was still down last year by about 40% to the hughs pre-pandemic. Maybe one day it will come back, but I doubt it tbh.
PartyKiller
PartyKiller - 2/16/2025, 6:04 AM
Deadline is being outright called shills for deceptive BS while trying to push Captain Falcon to being a hit. Some very bad Marvel movies escaped being a flop because of their dumb humor. Captain Falcon made about 5 people laugh twice. It was a dead zone.

Deadline keeps ranting about Captain Falcon making more the Winter Soldier's first days. True but with inflation added it is way behind because it's selling far fewer tickets.
OmegaDaGr0dd
OmegaDaGr0dd - 2/16/2025, 6:27 AM
Just shows that all the stars were aligned for this to be a big hit if they'd delivered on the production side of things. Audiences were ready to embrace Sam as Cap and were actually excited for that. Whether or not the reception means they've soured on that concept is something we don't know, but hopefully the Russos do good stuff with him in the Avengers movies cuz that could easily put him in a positive light, which (assuming this breaks even) would position a better made Cap sequel to do even better
TheVisionary25
TheVisionary25 - 2/16/2025, 7:29 AM
@OmegaDaGr0dd - to me , it seems like audiences have embraced Sam as Cap…

It’s moreso the movie surrounding him that people are mixed on.

Hope you are right though and that atleast does well enough for Sam to get more movies just so they can improve and truly deliver on the level Mackie deserves due to his immense enthusiasm for the role.
tippymcfoo
tippymcfoo - 2/16/2025, 10:37 AM
@OmegaDaGr0dd - I saw it. I was optimistic. Then I learned I'm not ready to embrace someone who's just a regular guy as a lead superhero. I get it... when I see a superhero movie, suspension of disbelief is cranked up and ready. But when I see a normal guy playing superhero, who would have died about 200 times in that movie, I can't. So he's just the best of the normal guys? Not really a power. The shield was more of a superhero than Sam Wilson.
MakeAmericaGrea
MakeAmericaGrea - 2/16/2025, 4:10 PM
@OmegaDaGr0dd -

"Audiences were ready to embrace Sam as Cap and were actually excited for that."

No. No way. That is so far removed from reality.
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