RUMOR: Much Of The STAR WARS Franchise's Future Hinges On THE MANDALORIAN & GROGU's Success

RUMOR: Much Of The STAR WARS Franchise's Future Hinges On THE MANDALORIAN & GROGU's Success

The latest update about the odds of The Mandalorian season 4 suggests The Mandalorian and Grogu's success (or lack thereof) will dictate not only the futures of its leads but Dave Filoni's Star Wars movie.

By JoshWilding - May 28, 2025 04:05 PM EST
Filed Under: The Mandalorian
Source: SFFGazette.com

The Mandalorian season 4 was scheduled to go into production shortly before 2023's Hollywood strikes brought the film and television industry to a halt. Scripts had been written, but the downtime saw Disney decide that Din Djarin and Grogu's next adventure should be a feature instead.

Given their popularity and season 3's open-ended conclusion, it's not hugely surprising that the House of Mouse is eager to cash in on The Mandalorian's success by shifting focus from streaming subscribers to box office revenue.

Six years since The Rise of Skywalker was released, getting Star Wars back into theaters, after Lucasfilm President Kathleen Kennedy essentially turned it into a small screen property, has become a priority for Disney CEO Bob Iger. 

Why? Well, Moana 2 was originally a Disney+ TV series and grossed over $1 billion last year; Lilo & Stitch was similarly destined for streaming, only to break box office records over Memorial Day weekend. 

Starting with two hugely popular characters is a wise move, but as of now, we don't know what the future holds in store for them both beyond The Mandalorian and Grogu movie coming to theaters in 2026. However, a new rumour doubles down on their streaming adventures being over.

Insider Daniel Richtman (via SFFGazette.com) has reiterated past reports that "there won’t be a Season 4 of The Mandalorian." He added, "If the movie succeeds, a sequel will be made. However, if it flops, it will serve as the final chapter for Mando and could also put [Dave] Filoni's movie at risk."

Ahsoka season 2 is in production, and the expectation is that this era of storytelling will conclude with Filoni's planned movie. Much was once said about that setting the stage for the sequel trilogy by explaining how Supreme Leader Snoke and the First Order gained power. Instead, it appears Filoni is forging his own path with a story about Grand Admiral Thrawn and the Mortis Gods.

Lucasfilm's plans for the Star Wars franchise remain unclear; in fact, it's hard to say whether there even is one. While Filoni is seemingly responsible for creating a cohesive narrative, it's played out at a glacial pace with no obvious end in sight. 

At Star Wars Celebration last month, Jon Favreau largely dodged questions about The Mandalorian season 4. "Right now, I'm focusing on the feature because we still have another year of the story," he said. "You discover so much as you edit a film and put it together with visual effects. Right now we're really locked in on the big screen story that's coming."

"A lot of people know these characters who haven’t seen the show," he said of how the shift to theaters will change his storytelling approach. "So it’s not just that there are people who saw the show and people who don’t know the characters - there’s a big range. We want to reward people who’ve been there since the beginning, but also invite new audiences in."

Starring Pedro Pascal, Sigourney Weaver, Jeremy Allen White, and Jonny Coyne, The Mandalorian and Grogu is directed by Favreau and produced by him, Kennedy, Dave Filoni, and Ian Bryce.

This exciting new adventure in the Mandalorian and Grogu's journey is currently in post-production and arrives in theaters on May 22, 2026.

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Irregular
Irregular - 5/28/2025, 4:15 PM
Yeah that was pretty obvious.
tubelight2020
tubelight2020 - 5/28/2025, 5:05 PM
It is likely advisable to place SW in the vault... return in a decade and attempt this once more. Reintroduce Rian Johnson and allow him to create a trilogy, or simply engage Winter Soldier to portray Luke after ROJ.
MakeAmericaGrea
MakeAmericaGrea - 5/28/2025, 5:11 PM
@tubelight2020 -

Ew.

Brother, what's that?

Rian Johnson should be kept a mile from Star Wars at all times.

Sebastian Stan is an anti President Trump loser.

Fire Kathleen Kennedy.

Then Bob Iger.

Then replace them with based executives.

Scrap all in production and pre production woke Star Wars crap.

Put out long overdue good Star Wars later this year.
jst5
jst5 - 5/28/2025, 5:44 PM
@Irregular - It's just crazy how badly Disney has dropped the ball on Star Wars given there is still a ton of interest in good Star Wars(just look at what Revenge of the Sith did coming back to theaters a few weeks ago)and Battlefront 2 is doing right now with gaming.

This needs to be studied in 15 years about how when you hire hacks and bad talent what that will do to a powerful brands.
McMurdo
McMurdo - 5/28/2025, 6:21 PM
@tubelight2020 - you already said this on your alt account @Noid



In this very article...it was just as stupid the first time.
Irregular
Irregular - 5/28/2025, 8:03 PM
@jst5 - I'm honestly just tired of how milked Star Wars has become. And it's like there's never a freakin break with this franchise now. Even Battlefront 2, while I'm happy it has this sudden uptick in players, (which I might install and play cause I never have before) it's just so much Star Wars. I didn't even watch Episode 9. A title I'm happy to hold.

Like shit I remember when Star Wars Clone Wars was first released on Cartoon Network. And not the CGI one, I'm talking about the five minute shorts they would get people hyped up for. But even then, it was such a rarity to see Star Wars in that format.

And now Disney just strangles the hell out of you with everything Star Wars. These past 10 years is just constant Star Wars IN. YOUR. FACE. I hate to say, even Marvel is starting to get on my nerves too as far as seeing it everywhere.

Maybe it's the subset of new fans that cultivated this current fanbase but they were always Disney lovers. Never gave a shit about Marvel or Star Wars until Disney said they should.
Irregular
Irregular - 5/28/2025, 8:10 PM
@jst5 - Also, I've enjoyed Star Trek a lot more honestly.
Smoothcat
Smoothcat - 5/28/2025, 4:17 PM
Sad we won’t be getting Andor quality again in Star Wars
NOID
NOID - 5/28/2025, 4:19 PM
Probably best to put SW into the vault… come back in 10 years and try this again. Bring Rian Johnson back and let him make a trilogy or just hire Winter soldier to play Luke post-ROJ
jst5
jst5 - 5/28/2025, 5:49 PM
@NOID - Your idea is to vault it for 10 years and then bring it back with Rian Johnson?LMAO
McMurdo
McMurdo - 5/28/2025, 6:22 PM
@NOID - are you high @tubelight2020 ?
Alucard28
Alucard28 - 5/28/2025, 4:21 PM
Fire Kathleen Kennedy and things will get better
Vigor
Vigor - 5/28/2025, 4:38 PM
@Alucard28 - I used to be in that train. But I found out she was behind a lot of good recent star wars productions too. So I'm over pointing the finger and one singular person
MakeAmericaGrea
MakeAmericaGrea - 5/28/2025, 5:00 PM
@Alucard28 -

We can't have a hydra situation.

All the woke heads have to go.
Alucard28
Alucard28 - 5/28/2025, 5:37 PM
@Vigor - maybe, but also many, many fails. IMO is time for someone else to step up
CreateNowSlpL8r
CreateNowSlpL8r - 5/28/2025, 7:27 PM
@Vigor - Its still ultimately her responsibilty. You can't have so many failure and just point to the fact that she allowed some good things to happen. It was rumored that Grogu was not supposed to come back and they had to change it because of her. Either way. Shes still accountable is what I'm saying. The studio has has very low viewership on D+ and they cant get a movie out. When a studio is disfunctional like that, you have to look at the leadership.
MrDandy
MrDandy - 5/28/2025, 4:31 PM
Well…good thing it will likely make a killing. Those characters are popular.
krayzeman
krayzeman - 5/28/2025, 4:36 PM
@MrDandy - Yeah Grogu pretty much sells this film. I dont see how this fails with the casual fan.
dragon316
dragon316 - 5/28/2025, 4:47 PM
@MrDandy - are they still popular grogu toys still sitting on shelf Ollie’s Walmart target elsa was extremely popular when first movie released everyone ask for elsa not others it died down movie is popular but toys hard to say
dragon316
dragon316 - 5/28/2025, 4:52 PM
@MrDandy - be great if it does how much do new fans love grogu and Mandalorian fans of transformers thought transformers one be big hit it wasn’t it’s up to new fans , kids and older fans
MakeAmericaGrea
MakeAmericaGrea - 5/28/2025, 5:03 PM
@MrDandy -

Ariel and Snow White and Han Solo are popular characters...
ntwrk
ntwrk - 5/28/2025, 4:41 PM
That's pretty [frick]ing obvious to be fair. They aren't going to invest in more Star Wars movies if this one bombs. But it won't, because Grogu is up there with Stitch as a popular character even for people who have never watched any media involving him, because he's adorable. Also, Pedro. The Mandalorian is also a great show, with a family vibe like the original trilogy but, like the OT, is also tinged with high drama and dark tones.
TheVisionary25
TheVisionary25 - 5/28/2025, 5:18 PM
@ntwrk - I agree for the most part

While I would personally like more nature stories akin to Andor in the universe ,Star Wars at its core is a family franchise so it’s important that it retains that mostly , especially since we have so many adult dramas on tv now that it’s hard to find something to view together
ntwrk
ntwrk - 5/28/2025, 5:27 PM
@TheVisionary25 - I really think that the more mature element works better on TV. Although to be fair, there's plenty of mature sci-fi outside of Star Wars to satiate that appetite.
TheVisionary25
TheVisionary25 - 5/28/2025, 5:35 PM
@ntwrk - I guess I can see what you mean..

I feel both type of tones can work for both the small and big screen but the more mature one might not be ideal for the latter since it can perhaps be too heavy for GA that just want to be entertained
ntwrk
ntwrk - 5/28/2025, 5:45 PM
@TheVisionary25 - there's that brand confusion for the GA. I took my then 5 year old son to watch Force Awakens. Great experience. I love that kids can have Star Wars, it's how it should be. A year later I took him to see Rogue One. At least he knew what happened next, but that movie got heavy (we both still love it though). Unrelated, but when I turned and saw him when the lights came up after Infinity War I had to tell his sad little face that Spiderman was going to be fine because he's got another movie out soon. "Mr Stark... I don't feel so good..." absolutely broke his little heart. I guess I'm for a healthy dose of drama in with the sci-fi antics. And to be fair, it was Lucas who put heavy themes into Star Wars- Phantom Menace was a political thriller dressed as a kids movie. I unashamedly love that as well.
TheVisionary25
TheVisionary25 - 5/28/2025, 5:50 PM
@ntwrk - agreed

Star Wars always has had heavy themes but it depends on much different creatives want to emphasize those or not.
IronGenesis
IronGenesis - 5/28/2025, 4:47 PM
They have the title backwards …

Never have the longer word on top.

Not

The Sundance Kid and Butch Cassidy
dragon316
dragon316 - 5/28/2025, 4:51 PM
@IronGenesis - especially with this series shows more grogu less main character should grogu and Mandalorian mostly focuses on little guy popularity and all he gets more toys than Mandalorian who’s main character not grogu that sucks kinda offensive
Goldboink
Goldboink - 5/28/2025, 4:55 PM
@IronGenesis -

It should just be Grogu Bitches
MakeAmericaGrea
MakeAmericaGrea - 5/28/2025, 5:06 PM
@IronGenesis -

Because asked to create the title, Baby Yoda was.
CorndogBurglar
CorndogBurglar - 5/28/2025, 7:26 PM
@IronGenesis - Is that actually a thing? The longer name on the bottom?

Not doubting you, I just never heard of that. Seems like something that could be some unspoken rule of titles though.
dragon316
dragon316 - 5/28/2025, 4:49 PM
I will defiantly see this but should have season one into movie then season two and up into tv series movie is risky move regardless how popular characters are transformers toys and comics popular with fans and maybe new fans but transformers one suck in theater
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