With A Revised $110 Million Opening, Could SOLO: A STAR WARS STORY Be Lucasfilm's First Flop?

With A Revised $110 Million Opening, Could SOLO: A STAR WARS STORY Be Lucasfilm's First Flop?

"Flop" may be too strong a word but opening weekend estimates for Lucasfilm's second Star Wars spinoff have plummeted and the movie is already struggling to gain traction overseas. Read on for details...

By JoshWilding - May 26, 2018 01:05 AM EST
Filed Under: Star Wars
Source: The Hollywood Reporter
Solo: A Star Wars Story has a troubled history after the firing of Phil Lord and Chris Miller led to Ron Howard being brought on to take charge of the spinoff. Lucasfilm allowed negative reports about the production to continue popping up online without ever countering them and our first look at the movie came via some leaked LEGO packaging. The trailer, meanwhile, debuted very late (three months ago).

Just how much all of that has hurt Solo is hard to say but initial opening weekend estimates of $130 million - $150 million have now dropped to $105 million - $110 million for the four day weekend. 

The projected three-day weekend haul is only $80 million - $90 million, a pretty disappointing result for a Star Wars movie revolving around a popular character like Han Solo. Initially, these spinoffs were billed as having lower budgets and not needing to earn a huge amount but all those reshoots have helped make this one of the most expensive Star Wars movies ever and that's bound to hurt Lucasfilm. 

Whereas Rogue One: A Star Wars Story took $29 million in 2016 during Thursday night screenings, Solo ended up doing $14.1 million for an estimated $35 million Friday (half of Rogue One's $71 million). Overseas, the news isn't much better as it's flopped in China - like every other Star Wars movie - and made an underwhelming $11.4 million from its first 43 markets on Wednesday and Thursday. 

Are moviegoers bored with Star Wars or was releasing it so soon after The Last Jedi - with pretty much no marketing campaign - where the studio went wrong? For now, we'll just have to wait and see. 
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MUTO123
MUTO123 - 5/26/2018, 1:13 AM
Should’ve pushed it to December.
Kevwebsz
Kevwebsz - 5/26/2018, 1:15 AM
@MUTO123 - Yup.
FromACertainPOV
FromACertainPOV - 5/26/2018, 1:28 AM
@MUTO123 - I love Star Wars movies being in December (I don’t think they should be every December but that’s another conversation).

It makes sense from a business standpoint because that franchise can own the month and it’s releases are nicely spaced out and it also goes a long way to making them feel like something of a treat and event because amid all the Oscar fare (which I adore) we also get treated to a bloody Star Wars film.
Pantherpool
Pantherpool - 5/26/2018, 1:38 AM
@MUTO123 - They should stick with the December release for Star Wars in general. As for this movie, they should have been more careful with the people they hired. If they were, they wouldn't have to spend so much extra money on reshoots.
whynot
whynot - 5/26/2018, 4:56 AM
@Pantherpool - does anyone know what the production budget is on this movie?
Toecutter
Toecutter - 5/26/2018, 1:18 AM
Equivocal
Equivocal - 5/26/2018, 12:25 PM
@Toecutter -

that's what I said when I heard of
ANOTHER
star wars movie

they are not even THAT great....

oh well



Tron5000
Tron5000 - 5/26/2018, 1:24 AM
The title of this article asks if this movie may be a “flop,” and then the first line in the piece says “flop may be too strong a word.”

Like, for real?

That’s how we do writing and stuff these days?

Cool, good chat.
Forthas
Forthas - 5/26/2018, 1:26 AM
Wow! Rian Johnson should not have been such a jerk when it came to the Last Jedi. That was the worst public relations campaign outside of the DCEU I have ever seen. How does effectively "flipping off" a fan base ever work out for a franchise? I was hoping people would not take out their frustrations on Solo, Ron Howard does not deserve that...but here we are!
FunkyDormammu
FunkyDormammu - 5/26/2018, 1:36 AM
@Forthas - it’s actually worse than the DCEU. At least the people involved with those were only insulting movie critics, Rian Johnson was out right insulting his own fan base- Madness.
Forthas
Forthas - 5/26/2018, 1:44 AM
@FunkyDormammu - I don't know! I see a lot of parallels. There was a very vocal outcry when DC was planning Batman V Superman and I saw a bunch of articles from "journalists" decrying fanboy rage and declaring the studio does not care what they think. With Star wars it wa more the tone of their responses and the projection of excuses on fan expectations. I can't believe Disney is making almost the exact same mistake.
vincanss
vincanss - 5/26/2018, 2:00 AM
@Forthas - that's a warped perspective on the whole thing. Rian comes across as a nice guy in interviews, he's well respected in the filmmaking community and had a great experience making the movie from all we know. He spent time with fans queuing at SW Celebration before the movie hit screens etc. Some 'SW fans', like you evidently (?) have been firing shots at him over Twitter since Dec, death threats even, he's been bombarded with rude messages on conversations, even with nothing to do with SW. I've seen him apologise to people if they didn't like the movie, which he doesn't have to. If he's "flipping off" anybody ever, he's every right to. To me, he's a example of a total pro. If it were me it would have been a lot worse.
Forthas
Forthas - 5/26/2018, 2:16 AM
@vincanss - Not sure why you are trying to associate me with people who sent him death threats or "rude messages"...like what does that have to do with my comment?

In any event...show me a quote from him in which he "apologizes" to fans. I have yet to hear him say that maybe he could have done something better. If over 50% of your fanbase say they did not like the film then CLEARLY there must be something wrong with it.

All he had to do was say "you know, in hindsight maybe there were things I could have done better or things I did not fully appreciate when making the film, I will work with JJ Abrams to make sure we correct those issues" BAM! Case closed! I think he might have just cost Disney hundreds of millions of dollars because he could not bring himself to simply acknowledge that there were problems.

He literally stated that the problem was because people were "expecting something specific and you don't get it"

Here is the quote!

"I'm aware through my own experience that, first of all, the fans are so passionate, they care so deeply — sometimes they care very violently at me on Twitter. But it's because they care about these things, and it hurts when you're expecting something specific and you don't get it from something that you love."

- Rian Johnson

http://www.syfy.com/syfywire/rian-johnson-responds-to-the-last-jedi-fan-reaction-and-expectations
Forthas
Forthas - 5/26/2018, 2:34 AM
@MUTO123 - Geez!! That is worse...and fans took it out on the very next Transformers film...Last Knight. Why does this keep happening????
MUTO123
MUTO123 - 5/26/2018, 2:50 AM
@Forthas - Between that and Fant4stic, I think by saying "Who cares? They'll see it anyway", you're kinda asking for your movie to flop.

And yeah, in regards to The Last Knight flopping, all I can say is

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